Stockchase Opinions

David Driscoll Jardine Matheson JMHLY-OTC PAST TOP PICK Dec 27, 2024

(A Top Pick Dec 19/23, Up 10%)

Emerging markets are suffering as the USD has gone up. China announced stimulus package in September, and asked this company to get the Hong Kong economy rolling again. As a result, stock popped. Earnings not as bad as expected.

Still getting paid to wait, almost like a bond at 6%, and dividend grows every year. Still buying.

$40.685

Stock price when the opinion was issued

0
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BUY
Big conglomerate. Trades at a discount to NAV. An opportunity to buy. Fairly good relations with the Chinese government. A difficult environment, but they will work things out. They've diversified outside of Asia. Should do well later this year.
WEAK BUY
As prosperity increases across the region, they'll be able to charge higher rents. This is the kind of stock you want to buy if you have a long time horizon and a low beta framework. Good dividend. A good operation, and it's a sleep well at night stock. Reasonably attractive at these levels.
BUY
It gives great exposure to south east Asia. Their operations have some revenues from China but most from outside of China.
BUY
Business risk in China and Hong Kong, but the biggest part of their business is in Indonesia. Tentacles in all the EM countries in Southeast Asia. Hotels, grocery stores, car dealerships, IKEAs, Starbucks. Stock's suffered, as they show earnings in USD. He's been buying heavily. 6x earnings, 4% yield. Weaker USD in 2023 should make stock price pop.
TOP PICK

It has been in Hong Kong for 150 years. The Chinese political pressure has had a negative effect but the underlying performance has improved. It has a number of assets including the Indonesian ones with strength in mining.    Buy 3  Hold 2  Sell 0

TOP PICK

Are exposed only 25% to China; rather, Indonesia is their greatest exposure where they collet revenues in the Indonesia rupee, but must show profits in US dollars. In the past year, the rupee has fallen then come back, but this isn't reflected in their earnings yet. It will in the next report. If interest rates fall, then the USD will and Jardine's profit will rise. The dividend grows 6-10% yearly (and could rise higher with a weaker USD), paying 5.5% now. It's like a bond proxy. Lots of room to buy companies.

(Analysts’ price target is $54.61)
BUY

It is cheap at 7X forward earnings and pays a dividend over 5%. It reports in U.S. dollars and has some China exposure. It has been down over the past year so it is a good time to accumulate. Buy it on the Singapore exchange if you can.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 19/23, Down 10%)

Most revenues come from Indonesia, so the conversion from rupees to US dollars limits profits. 25% of revenues are in China, mostly commercial real estate. Other revenues are also in southeast Asia, also hurt by the strong USD. The dividend is safe and growing at 6.5%.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 31/23, Down 25%)

He was expecting Chinese investing stimulus in Q3, but it didn't happen. So, he sold this. You must have sell discipline.