Opinions
Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA
iShares Global Clean Energy ETF
ICLN-Q
BUY
Nov 02, 2020
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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Has come off of its highs and he has bought some more on the weakness. Plug Power is a large part of the fund and the company likely will not have earnings until 2023-2024. Interest rates have hurt the speculative names. Over the long term, the sector is a growth area.
The biggest holding in this ETF is Plug Power, which is Kathy Wood of Ark Investment's preference. This company will not make a profit for a couple years. There is a lot of speculation. There will be massive amounts of money for the green sector. Not early and you will see volatility. The pullback is a good time to step in. When traditional energy do well, the green energy names should do better too since traditional energy are big investors.
Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. Growth stocks and the sector in general has seen a big hit this year. There is no specific negative news on the fun. It is getting to interesting levels after a 19% decline this year. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
ICLN is the go-to clean energy ETF in the US, well diversified. Some of these ETFs have fallen over the last few months, but now are stabilizing and moving higher. One of the mega-trends. Watch that most stocks have already priced in positive moves, where the average PE of the stocks is about 52x. Be careful of valuations.
Likes ICLN long term (ZCLN is the Canadian version). Challenge is that under a climate-friendly Biden administration, it did poorly. You need to look at the 5-year chart to gain perspective. When Biden was elected, a lot of these names had a lot of excitement around them and the ETF really shot up. But there was no follow-through, so the chart looks like a multi-year low. It's certainly not going to improve under a Trump presidency.
Cheap relative to lots of things out there. When Trump won the nomination, a lot of solar/wind/clean energy stocks got absolutely crushed. If you're a long-term thinker, this is the time to buy, when there's blood in the streets.
Long-term, still likes it. The world is moving in that direction, but won't be moving very quickly over the next few years under Trump. Still lots of value, but you have to think multiple years into the future.
Up to the individual investor whether to keep accumulating, or to take the money and invest it elsewhere. He's sticking with it for now, and he'll update BNN viewers if he changes his view.