Terry Shaunessy
Horizons Active Preferred Share ETF
HPR-T
DON'T BUY
Dec 09, 2020
For recent years, he's been off and on preferred shares. Preferreds are volatile. When interest rates plunged 2-3 years ago, this asset class got reamed. HPR pays a big dividend, but also offers huge volatility. Also, it lacks the growth of stocks but carries the volatility. He had a terrible experience with this. Look at ZUP-T, which covers US preferreds which are largely fixed-rate, a key difference to Canadian preferreds. Also, US preferreds are less volatile than Canadians.
Seems to have dropped off the radar screen. The summertime is a difficult time in the northeast part of British Columbia. Expect it will be quiet for a few months.
Was a top pick about a year ago. Did all right initially but the share price dropped. A very good story when the juniors are totally out of favor. Have a very active summer program. Very cheap. Will probably be acquired/trust by the end of the year.
Have been disappointed througout the beginning of the year. Had a production limitation problem at one of its facilities which was overreacted to by the market. Solvable.
Has 2 key assets, one is a winter access only in northern B.C. and the other in Alberta. Did 2,100 BOE's a day in 2003 exited at 2,700. Expects them to do 3,385, exiting at 4,500 in 2004. Also drilling a high impact which is not in the stock.
Stock has been languishing. They were trying to drill 8 wells in Duso(?) in Alberta. Because of the weather, they only got 6 done. Their production in Q1 was about the same in Q4 of 3,100 BOE's a day. They have quite a bit behind pipe which will be coming on in April so they will be about 4,000 BOE's a day which will be 1,000 BOE's coming on. Likes the story. Feels they have the ability to exit at 4,300/4,500 a day. Reserve Life Index of 8.2 years. Waiting for the stats.
Has $50 million debt level on the books which is a bit higher than he likes. Should do cash flow this year of about $35 million. Thinking about selling some non-core assets, but don't want to unless they can replace it with new production. Have some very high impact drilling going on right now, which, if successful, will probably look to sell something in Q3/Q4.
Being bought by Enterra Energy (ENT.UN-T). Feels the deal will be beneficial to shareholders, but not a big fan of Enterra as they had a very, very short reserve life. If you own, take the cash.
Being bought by Enterra (ENT.UN-T). Feels that Enterra's proven reserves might be under 7 years and he needs more than that in his holdings. If you are an E&P player, sell and look for other companies. If you are a trust player, check what the proven reserves are.
He likes what they are doing. In preferreds he thinks active management can be productive. He has trimmed recently waiting for a selloff in it. He would add if it got back to recent lows but right now he is trimming.
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For recent years, he's been off and on preferred shares. Preferreds are volatile. When interest rates plunged 2-3 years ago, this asset class got reamed. HPR pays a big dividend, but also offers huge volatility. Also, it lacks the growth of stocks but carries the volatility. He had a terrible experience with this. Look at ZUP-T, which covers US preferreds which are largely fixed-rate, a key difference to Canadian preferreds. Also, US preferreds are less volatile than Canadians.