Stockchase Insights
Gear Energy
GXE-T
PARTIAL BUY
Feb 28, 2024
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research
The stock is cheap, and the balance sheet is fine, and it is not without potential. It still pays its (lowered) dividend. It is buying back stock. We would not consider it a disaster, but it is a small company, in a struggling sector, with negative momentum, and annoyed investors (no sale and the dividend cut). The numbers are not hugely reassuring. But a sector rally would likely still move it nicely. It is up 3% YTD despite all the news. We think we would 'target' it for a sale as new ideas show up--i.e. use it a source of cash. But we do not think a sale has to be rushed, immediate, or full. Depending on one's risk profile, a small position could still be kept. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
Very similar to Cardinal energy.
Better names out there with large inventory.
Quality company that is returning capital to shareholders.
Trading at slight discount to peers.
Small player in energy space ($270 MM market cap). Believes dividend is sustainable (~11% yield). Not many large funds buying. China re-opening will increase oil price and lift share price. Good for retail investor.
Small energy stock that is "for sale". Recent cut of dividend not good. Company hoping to take advantage of higher oil prices in order to sell. Company cheap, but so are other (better) names in sector.
Seeking strategic alternatives for the second time, aka "looking for a buyer". Dividend is not sustainable. Trading at 2.2x, so a premium on a sale is possible. If no sale, dividend will resize.
He thinks their CEO is resigning and they cut their dividend, though trades at 2x cash flow 2025. Balance sheet is fine. But there's a lot of noise here, and investors are looking elsewhere.
Right-sized the dividend by 50%, which alienated a lot of investors. The base dividend should never be cut, and most quality companies will base that on a very low, defendable oil price. 19% free cashflow yield. Value trap. Can't see a catalyst.
Company share price is reflective of lack in interest in small energy names (market cap too small). Company needs to sell itself in order to generate value. Better options for investors out there.
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The stock is cheap, and the balance sheet is fine, and it is not without potential. It still pays its (lowered) dividend. It is buying back stock. We would not consider it a disaster, but it is a small company, in a struggling sector, with negative momentum, and annoyed investors (no sale and the dividend cut). The numbers are not hugely reassuring. But a sector rally would likely still move it nicely. It is up 3% YTD despite all the news. We think we would 'target' it for a sale as new ideas show up--i.e. use it a source of cash. But we do not think a sale has to be rushed, immediate, or full. Depending on one's risk profile, a small position could still be kept.
Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free