Opinions
Josef Schachter
Gran Tierra Energy
GTE-A
COMMENT
Jan 24, 2008
Owns half a fabulous well, Costayaco in Colombia. The other half belongs to Solana (SOR-X). This one is cheaper is cheaper but is waiting for it to get its TSX listing. Also have assets in Argentina and many millions of acres in Peru, which they will farm out to the big boys
$2.780
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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BUY
Owns 50% in Costayaco, which is doing 2200 BOE's. Expect it will average 3150 in 2008. Doing 2600 BOE’s. Has a play in Argentina doing about 500/600 BOE's with exploration upside. Also long-term warrant in Peru where they have millions of acres and which has had some major discoveries by the majors. Planning joint ventures.
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TOP PICK
100% Colombian oil. There is tax loss selling potential on this one. They had a production hiccup in Q2. He has a one year target of $5.50. It could be a tax loss selling target. Management has a strong interest in the company. It is a really cheap stock. Buy during tax loss selling season. (Analysts’ price target is $3.60)
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COMMENT
He prefers Parex as his South American play, because they're more consistent, staying in Colombia. GTE ventured into Brazil, Mexico and even Peru, and have now focussed on their core Colombian assets and returning capital to sharesholders with free cash flow. Also are doing more exploration to create opportunities. GTE is still recovering. Maybe they'll regain their magic this year.
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