Stockchase Opinions

Varun Anand Greenlane Renewables Inc. GRN-T WEAK BUY Apr 27, 2021

A small cap, too small for him, but it's one of the leaders in renewable natural gas. They have three technologies to process nat gas, which puts them in an ideal, unique position to serve customers. RNG is in the early stages so there could be a lot of momentum if governments adopt RNG. This isn't a cheap stock, because it prices in many years of growth, which is partly justified. He likes GRN, but expects some volatility. But the independent Canadian power producers offer more stability and a lower valuation.

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BUY ON WEAKNESS

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. At 4x sales, it is more expensive than peers. Down 40% year to date, but still largely up compared to 1 year ago. Balance sheet is strong and growth rate is higher than average. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

WATCH

A past top pick. It's a smaller version of Xebec, both in renewable natural gas, but got dragged down by Xebec's woes and Covid. He got stopped out of this, but is happy to reconsider it. There's a 5-15-year tailwind for this sector as governments legislate for more energy.

BUY
Renewable nat gas, using a few different technologies. Engineering expertise is their niche. Doing quite well. That sector will have huge tailwinds for the next decade. Raised capital, strong balance sheet. Stock's pulled back this year, because of the industry. Continues to like it.
TOP PICK
Tailwind for natural gas for the next decade. Has $42M in backlog. Has grown revenues 100% since going public. It has consolidated and we should see a ramp up. If you are a longer term investor, you can buy and tuck away. (Analysts’ price target is $2.94)
BUY

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. Their latest earnings matched EPS estimates. Revenues increased by 107% and the company has cited a growing sales pipeline. Should be profitable next fiscal year and it has demonstrated good revenue growth. Valuation is decent with no debt. If EV and green energy picks up momentum again, there can be a rotation back into this space. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

WATCH
Over the next decade, this area should be pushed by governments to have more nat gas in the pipeline, a tremendous tailwind. Tax-loss selling pressure, small cap effect. Fairly attractive valuation. He's watching to see when investors might jump on board.
WATCH
Renewable nat gas is a trend that will continue to develop. Push to increase percentage of renewable power from 0.5% to 5-10% over the next decade. Tremendous opportunity. Owns 3 technologies. Pressure on small caps, Covid delayed projects. His eye is on it.
BUY
The renewable natural gas business has tailwinds for the next decade or more. Greenlane is his preferred way to invest in this. It is adding new projects and has a big backlog. Success is a function of building those projects. It has a capital arm and is deploying capital into them. Having some ownership and a part in the operation in these projects gives them recurrent cash flow rather than just selling and building them. The worst of the sell-off is over and he has recently added.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 15/21, Down 54%) The market is selling off small caps like this. Their pipeline is over $900 million and revenues are up 44% YOY. They have cash that they've been deploying into their projects. They have a macro tailwind for the next decade. Everything is moving in the right direction. Shares are down, because nobody wants to own small-caps now. They make renewable natural gas.
WATCH
Likes the sector, lots of runway. Renewable natural gas. Governments are increasing demand. On his radar. Will look at again when risk appetite in the market returns.