Stockchase Opinions

David Driscoll First Cash Financial Services FCFS-N PAST TOP PICK Jul 27, 2017

(A Top Pick Aug 25/16. Up 16.18%.) Runs thousands of pawnshops, primarily in South America and Mexico, with a few in the US. This was a hedge against people who wanted to own the gold ETF.

$58.950

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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TOP PICK
They own pawn stores in America, Mexico and now Colombia . They do well when the economy weakens and trade a lot in gold jewllery. As the US dollar falls and price rises, he'd rather own this than gold or a gold ETF. Dividend has been rising 15% yearly. (Analysts’ price target is $94.14)
BUY
It's up 43% year to date. They're the biggest operator of 2,400 pawn stores in the US and into Latin America. If the world blows up, you want to be in gold--and people bring in their gold to these stores. It's a way of getting gold expsoure but also a yield. Their dividend is growing., 17% last year. Return on invested capital is 12%.
BUY
They manage 2400 pawn shops, with many in Mexico. It's also a hedge for gold since they trade gold jewelry. Almost two times cashflow then owning most of the companies out there. It will continue to do well.
HOLD
The company has operations in South America that is out of favour. Earnings were in line with estimates and revenues were up 5%, retail sales up 10%. Everything is working nicely and generating cash flow. Dividend is rising. He would be a buyer here since there is value.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 07/18, Down 1%) Not a bad return, given what's happening in Latin American markets this year. FCFS runs American pawn shops, as well as in Mexico and South America. They grow at 5% organically; dividend rising 10-15%. But nobody wants to invest in Latin American which holds back this stock. A plus: it isn't correlated to US banks. They also benefit from the rising gold price, since people pawn gold a lot. This is how he invests in gold.
BUY
It's part of the S&P500 midcap so it moves in tandem with it. They had a very good quarter and their Latin American operations continue to grow. Retail sales and pawn fees have been rising. If they receive more jewellery, and the USD goes down and gold prices go out, they might be a beneficiary. They have owned it for 5 years and will continue to own it.
BUY
They are one of the largest pawn shop operators in the US and Latin America. They have a counter-cyclical business. As their inventory builds, this will be a good name to hold.
HOLD
They operate a large number of pawn dealerships in the US. They do quite well. People still need ways to short term finance things. He is not going to sell this one.
DON'T BUY

He sold then when the US Dept. of Justice began investigating it. He bought it to get exposure to gold and emerging markets. Gold is now in focus, but he wouldn't buy a miner or revenue streams, but rather physical gold. Gold is at all-time highs, so buy in tranches.