Opinions
Jaime Carrasco
EOG Resources Inc
EOG-N
COMMENT
May 01, 2015
$98.900
Stock price when the opinion was issued
oil
gas
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Oil is back to pre-Ukrainian invasion levels. So, there's no geopolitical risk priced into oil today. Energy is a cheap way to hedge against geopolitcal issues. Supply is constrained. OPEC did a laughable increase this week of only 100,000 barrels (the smallest ever). There are strong outflows from energy ETFs, so people are giving up on energy. He likes energy, especially EOG which reported this week--they are the Apple of this industry. They are not doing what other companies are, which is raising capex to drive production. EOG has better technology which proves they are best in class. They are returning their cash to shareholders with a special $1.50/share dividend. You're getting a 9% yield on this company this year.
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A US name to look at if you don't want to deal with the geopolitical or the heavy-oil takeaway capacity. Those constraints wouldn't affect this non-Canadian name. Probably the lowest-cost operator in the US, and one of the lowest globally. Does well operating in the counter-cyclical model.
Sharp selloff along with the price of oil, and it's just to do with the economic sensitivity of the commodity. Yield is 3.2%.
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His company has this with a $130 US target on it and $145 two years out. He has this as a sector perform, even though it is high volatility because of the oil exposure. Quite a well diversified company with a lot of assets offshore. If you are looking for an international oil play, this is definitely a good choice.