Stockchase Insights
BRP INC.
DOO-T
WAIT
Sep 06, 2024
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research
DOO reported EPS of 61c, beating estimates of 44c but declining from prior quarterly levels of $3.21. Revenue came in at $1.84B missing estimates of $1.89B and declining 34% year-over-year. Lower revenues were attributed to lower volume across most product lines as it continued to reduce its network inventory levels. Operating margins also dropped 470 basis points as a result of the lower volumes. DOO also cut its FY2025 guidace significantly. Revenue of C$7.8B-C$8B is expected from C$8.6B-C$8.9B, and normalized EPS of C$2.75-C$3.25 is expected from C$6.00-C$7.00. The results were of course not good and highlight the softening industry demand and transitional period the company is entering, as described in our recent report. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
Trades at 8x PE vs. peers at 12x. They mostly beat their last quarter, generate free cash, take more market share and enjoy robust demand for snowmobiles. A caveat is that in a downturn, discretionary costs like this will be cut.
With cash reserves growing, debt declining and shares being bought back, we select DOO as a TOP PICK. Seasonal sales in both water and power sports will begin to ramp up. It trades 8x earnings and supports a strong ROE. Its modest dividend is backed by a payout ratio under 10% of cash flow. We recommend setting a stop-loss at $67, looking to achieve $102 — upside potential of 22%. Yield 0.8%
Saw a nice little bounce. The mild winter didn't help their snowmobile business, a sector where they are gaining market share. Inventory has risen. A great summer for boats would help, but he's overall cautious about this.
(A Top Pick Mar 19/24, Up 22.4%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly
Our PAST TOP PICK with DOO has achieved its target at $102. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering half the position at this time and trailing up the stop (from $67) to $80 at this time.
We didn't have a winter last year. People bought ski-doos during the pandemic, but are travelling now. He still likes it. It's cheap and there's less competition now. He sold it, but will re-enter it.
(A Top Pick Mar 19/24, Down 3.9%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly
Our PAST TOP PICK with DOO has triggered its stop at $80. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in a net investment gain of 9%, when combined with our previous recommendations.
The Quebec based manufacturer of outdoor recreation vehicles is a TOP PICK. We like how cash reserves are growing as the company aggressively buys back shares and reduces debt. It trades at 26x earnings and supports a 31% ROE. We recommend setting a stop-loss at $67, looking to achieve $93 -- upside potential of 20%. Yield 0.8%
DOO reported EPS of 61c, beating estimates of 44c but declining from prior quarterly levels of $3.21. Revenue came in at $1.84B missing estimates of $1.89B and declining 34% year-over-year. Lower revenues were attributed to lower volume across most product lines as it continued to reduce its network inventory levels. Operating margins also dropped 470 basis points as a result of the lower volumes. DOO also cut its FY2025 guidace significantly. Revenue of C$7.8B-C$8B is expected from C$8.6B-C$8.9B, and normalized EPS of C$2.75-C$3.25 is expected from C$6.00-C$7.00. The results were of course not good and highlight the softening industry demand and transitional period the company is entering, as described in our recent report.
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