CoreWeaveCRWVBUYJul 06, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 22, 2026. Market Open.
The bond market thinks CRWV has too much debt and think their GPUs won't hold their value. He disagrees and feels that their chips will more than hold their value. When the borrowing time is over, CRWV own the chips outright and that's when the real money is made. The real issue, though, is interest rates; if they go up a lot, CRWV should be worried. He thinks AI will gain steam again and make a real impact on the economy and world. If AI collapses, then the whole AI data centre industry could get smacked. If there's another rate hike, Coreweave will have a hard time raising money.
Think of them as intelligence farms and data centres. You can get a lot more $$ from renting the GPUs than people had thought, and the assets don't depreciate as quickly as feared. There's just so much demand.
Was contentious when it came out, as it was a race between its interest expense on debt versus revenue generated from renting out compute.
Likes both, prefers NBIS. A bit more responsible with its balance sheet.
A play on data centres. What does data centre growth look like? It was everything to everybody. Now growth is in question as people wonder where's the $$ coming from to build them? His own heart tells him that growth won't be what it was thought. Maine just voted to impose a ban on data centres.
Stock's tired. See his Top Picks.
She prefers the bitcoin miners, as their business model is a bit less risky. Both of these names look pretty attractive here, as H100 and H200 chip prices are still going up. So there's a bit more upside in the short term. Over the cycle, they don't have demand locked in. They're investing a lot of capex, and though demand is there today, the future is uncertain.
CRWV has the backing of NVDA, so it may be a bit better on risk/reward. Both have similar exposure.
They ended Q1 with a backlog of under $100 billion. Revenues are expected to jump from below $13 billion this year to $25B in 2027 to over $40B in 2028, by which time EPS is expected at $3.36 and $6.92 in 2029, far better than current losses. The big question: Can they convert their backlog into profits?