The Weekly Buzzing Stocks by Billy Kawasaki Celsius Holdings CELH-Q TOP PICK Sep 05, 2024

They just reported a record Q2, but the CEO announced somber comments about the energy drink industry. Shares are down 52% since May, but should be going higher.

Their relationship with Pepsi isn't helping them. Shares once soared, but have fallen 63% in the last 6 months. Maybe the convenience stores are not selling as well. He doesn't trust it.

He bought it because of the CEO change and shareholder activism. This is a bottom-fishing, contrarian play.

At some point, CELH is going to become a very very attractive buy. But right now it is a falling knife, having dropped from near $100 to today's $25, in a relentless rollover. It has cash and earnings growth, but we would not yet consider it 'value' since it is still at a 37X earnings valuation. The product is good, we think, but Pepsi's de-stocking has been brutal to the company, and revenue fell 31% in the Q3. We need this to at least level out to get some confidence back. 
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EPS of 14c beat estimates of 11c; revenue of $332M beat estimates of $325M. EBITDA of $62.9M crushed estimates of $42M. Revenue did fall 4.4%. International revenue was very strong, up 39%. Margins rose 2.4 points. It was a good quarter, and few were expecting much. The acquisition of Alani Nu makes sense. It is a big purchase, but it consolidates market share, adds more exposure to the women's market, and will be accretive in its first year. A mix of stock and cash, it should add to long term growth and strengthen CELH's overall position within the sector. The big move today will scare some of the short sellers (26%). We think the bottom has likely been seen now here with the stock and it will likely work its way up higher over time. We would be less inclinded to chase this in today's frenzy, however. 
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They had a solid top and bottom line beat last week, and announced they were buying another sugar-free drink company. Shares jumped.