Hank Cunningham
Bonds - 30-year US Treasury
BONDS-N
COMMENT
Jan 17, 2024
Huge capital gain if yields fell?
Yes, substantial capital gain if yields fell to, say, 3%. But he doesn't think they'll do that.
They just had a serious capital gain in the last 4 months in the US bond market. The longer the bond, the greater the volatility. The value of 1 bps is greater at 30 years than it is at 5. For a given yield movement, the 30-year will move a lot more than the 10-, 5-, or 3-year.
Yes, substantial capital gain if yields fell to, say, 3%. But he doesn't think they'll do that.
They just had a serious capital gain in the last 4 months in the US bond market. The longer the bond, the greater the volatility. The value of 1 bps is greater at 30 years than it is at 5. For a given yield movement, the 30-year will move a lot more than the 10-, 5-, or 3-year.