Stockchase Opinions

Norman Levine American Financial Group Inc. AFG-N TOP PICK Dec 30, 2013

Specialty property casualty company with a fixed annuity business. Niche businesses. 1.54% dividend. AFG makes money on the insurance business as well as on the investments, unlike most other insurance companies.

$57.170

Stock price when the opinion was issued

insurance
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TOP PICK

Slow and steady. Not a sexy company. They insure horses, speedboats, commercial car fleets. Because they dominate small niches, they just tend to slowly move along and slowly increase the dividend. Good corporate governance and good risk management.

TOP PICK

A conservative name in an expensive market. Not in everyday insurance. Workers compensation, liability for lawyers, transportation equipment. Highly profitable. 1.7% yield raised consistently.

PAST TOP PICK

(Top Pick Dec 30/13, Up 9.25%) Workers Comp, Transpiration. Not home insurance, just highly profitable markets such as litigation insurance. Make their money on underwriting plus the investment income. 1.6% dividend.

TOP PICK

Specialty property/casualty insuring for niche markets, where there is not as much competition. Probably one of the most profitable insurance companies globally. About 94% of their investments are in bonds, mostly investment grade, so they’ll be a major beneficiary when interest rates go up. Raises its dividend every year and have paid special dividends in the last 3 years. Dividend yield of 1.37%.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Nov 3/14. Up 27.61%.) This company will benefit from rising interest rates in the US. It is a specialty, property, casualty Company. Most of their portfolio is in bonds, so they will benefit if rates go up.

HOLD

(Market Call Minute) Higher bond yields would really help here.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Aug 19/15. Up 4.25%.) A specialty, property company. Probably the least known and best run property casualty company in the US. They have niche markets such as trucking fleets, Californian Worker’s Compensation and liability insurance for lawyers. A rising rate environment will be good for this company.

TOP PICK
It is a specialty insurance company. Hardly anyone follows it. A family owns a quarter of it and runs it. They make money on their policies as well as their investments. They raise their dividend every year. They paid a special dividend in December, which they do most years. It is a great buy and hold. (Analysts’ price target is $113.33)
HOLD
He has owned this for 15 years. A family run company in special property insurance coverage. Their premium investments have been in bonds and is well diversified. As interest rates are likely near a bottom, their profits should continue to look great. He would continue to own it.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 20/18, Up 30%) A mid-cap specialty insurer. It can charge higher premiums as it is in niche markets. Their investing was very successful and they had lower insurance payouts.