Stockchase Opinions

Benj GallanderAegon N.V.AEGBUYFeb 19, 2020

He owns this and is underwater on it. It pays a great dividend and they just increased it again. This is still a buy for him. It is an insurance and wealth management company.
$4.04

Stock price when the opinion was issued

Financial Services
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It is a Dutch insurer. The question is will it offer upside to Canadian insurers. For example look at Sun Life. He feels that as far as Europe is concerned there are better opportunities.

Unspecified
It is a Dutch based insurance company. He sold it two years ago. Has a high dividend and low valuation but profitability has been inconsistent over time.
BUY
A very good property and casualty insurer. He prefers Chubb, but insurers do well in this stage of the cycle.
SELL ON STRENGTH
Great recovery. Sold on strength of the stock to move elsewhere. Still struggling on the life insurance side in Europe and the US.
STRONG BUY
It's been a laggard for many years. As soon as long-term bond yields rose, this has performed well. This should be trading 50% higher, so he's very bullish.
HOLD
A lifeco based in Holland with many operations in the U.S. Like all its European peers, it has suspended its dividend. Actually, the PE is less than 4x. AEG and most lifecos will survive this crisis; the assets side of their balance sheet are strong with highly rated bonds. Selling this is painful and criminal, so just endure the pain and ride it out. This is a strange time, but investors shouldn't fear that we're entering a black hole.
DON'T BUY
Financials are out of favour and European lifecos are more out of favour. The regulator thinks they are in perfectly fine financial shape. People would rather sell regardless of yield and financials are being given away.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 31/19, Down 15%) They keep on raising the dividend. Private equity is paying so much more for businesses than investors are that we expect to see some businesses divested from AEG-N. This would be a catalyst.
COMMENT
Brexit deal positive for them? Doesn't know how Brexit will effect them. 33% of their business is in the UK and half in the U.S. They've been struggling like all insurers because of low interest rates. If those rates don't rise, AEG will languish. They have enough capital, and boast reasonable total returns. Dividend is high at 7%.
HOLD
He owns this one as he paid over $7. He still likes the wealth management and insurance businesses. Negative interest rates are impacted their profitability although he thinks it is very dangerous. Longer term he thinks rates will return. He is happy to continue holding it, but will be looking for tax loss selling in the spring.
WEAK BUY
It is a 50% US / 50% Europe insurance company. The dividend is covered by cash flow. It is suffering with zero interest rates that are killing the entire sector. They are making money and are profitable. You will have to live through a volatile time.
HOLD
Long term? A big Dutch insurer. They were too active for him, selling off division and buying new ones. Good dividend. This could return to double digits. He's happy to wait. They almost didn't survive the 2008 recession, but is doing much better now. But for now, he'll collect the dividend and see if it improves.
DON'T BUY
The Dutch mortgage market has some troubling yield issues. Refinancing will be challenged as a result. He thinks there is some upside, but it is leveraged to higher interest rates. He thinks there are better opportunities out there.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 16/18, Down 19%) He's owned this since 2014. It reported last week: revenues and earnings were down, but increased their dividend which is fat and what's he looking for. He sees this going to $20, but that's a long way off.