BUY

Less exposed to financials than VDY, so you get more diversification.

PARTIAL SELL

Basket of gold miners in North America, 45 holdings in total, with 64% in Canada and 28% in the US. Gold has performed extremely well over the last 1-2 years, bit of a crowded trade now. Start looking elsewhere. See his Top Picks.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 06/24, Up 15%)

Trades at 34x forward PE, with 20% growth rate starting next year. Technicals are positive. Shares are above 200-day MA, which is trending higher. AWS growth is reaccelerating again. Automation is improving margins. Ads are high margin and boosting profitability. Prime membership is its ecosystem, and very powerful.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 06/24, Down 31%)

He sold on a negative technical formation, when shares started trading below a falling 200-day MA. Growth is weak, only 2-3%. Beer segment is really decelerating, as are wine/spirits. Premium names could suffer if consumers trade down in a weak economy. 35% acquisition of Canopy Growth may also be an overhang.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 06/24, Up 31%)

Still buying for new clients. US consumer remains very resilient, spending patterns still moving higher. Retail sales near all-time highs today. Tollbooth model gives it pricing power. More fintech partnerships help with long-term growth.

WATCH

Some high-end names like Louis Vuitton have not been doing well. But TPR has been performing decently. Above 200-day MA, which is moving higher. Mid-high luxury, and that part of the market is doing better. Could be that the ultra-rich are "downshifting" into names owned by this brand.

15.5x forward PE, slightly above 10-year historical norms for this name. 9-10% growth. So valuation is decent. Investors should be cautious about impact of a downturn in the economy on this type of name.

WEAK BUY

Owning the NASDAQ in Canadian dollars, and overlaying a covered call strategy to give a pretty nice dividend yield. Looking back over 3 years, you get a better total return just owning the NASDAQ 100 index. But if you need the income, it makes sense.

SELL ON STRENGTH

Packaged treat business in general is challenged. Aside from tariffs, input costs are rising around the world due to normal inflation over the years. Growth rate's weaker than what he looks for. Only 3.3% earnings growth rate, though PE is cheap at 10x. Below 200-day MA, and moving lower. Value stocks can always get worse.

Showing 25 RSI, indicating oversold. Wait to see if it recovers. If he held it, he wouldn't 6-18 months from now. Nice yield of 4.5%, should be fairly safe.

DON'T BUY

Focused, has the branding. 24x forward PE for 5-6% earnings growth. Not on his radar for what he's looking for in terms of growth. Technically OK, with price above 200-day MA and that MA turning slowly higher. Yield is 2.8%.

WEAK BUY

Doesn't own, but respects the name. Pretty decent valuation. Technicals look strong. One step away from breaking previous all-time highs at $740. Paying 27x forward PE for 15% growth, not a bad PEG ratio. Cornering the whole social media space. Watch out for what it's spending on the Metaverse.

DON'T BUY

Previous high flyer. Consumer tastes can change. From a technical perspective, a difficult name to want to own. Price below 200-day MA, which is falling. Murky earnings growth, even weak or very flat. 

DON'T BUY

Spike in stock is due to fears of an economic slowdown being put at bay. Theme parks are expanding, but will depend on macro environment. ESPN is more challenged. Disney+ is challenged because NFLX is beating everybody. Paying 20x PE for 12-13% growth. Doesn't dislike the name, but some segments are having a tough go.

TOP PICK

Gold is becoming a crowded trade. Silver represents a more compelling opportunity. Currency-hedged access to physical silver in Canadian dollars. No foreign exchange risk. Silver just topped $35, a technical breakout; hasn't been there in over a decade. Industrial demand for silver. Mining supply for silver is pretty tight. Low correlation with stocks and bonds, so it helps lower portfolio risk. Bit of a hedge against an uncertain USD.

Gold/silver price right now is 90:1. Average over 50 years is 60:1. So silver is at a valuation discount right now. After the 2008 financial crisis, the gold/silver ratio was 80:1, and silver quadrupled after it hit that ratio. 

SLV is the version to use if you have US dollars to spend.

TOP PICK

Likes the reliable earnings. Steady prescriptions, specialty therapy (increases margins). In oncology drug space, which also has good margins. Automation and AI are helping margins further. 10-12% earnings growth rate at a decent PE. Just under 70% of Americans take at least 1 prescription drug a day; 25% take 4 or more. Population aging and more complex conditions will support volume growth of prescription drugs. 

You don't find a chart better than this, long-term uptrend. Ascending channel of higher highs and higher lows. Yield is 0.39%.

(Analysts’ price target is $770.00)
TOP PICK

Considers the US restrictions as short-term obstacles. Stock's starting to rebound quite nicely. The leader today in AI computing, and for the foreseeable future. Strong global thirst and demand for AI infrastructure. Unmatched advantages compared to other names in the space. Data centres are driving growth. Recent earnings beat. 

AI adoption is still in very early stages. Still trading at 1x PEG ratio. Earnings growth is not reflected in the valuation. Sees EPS at 33% going forward. Yield is 0.03%.

(Analysts’ price target is $171.49)