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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

In recently reported earnings, APA indicated they expect operational efficiencies to result in $130 million in cost savings.  The company has been prudently using cash reserves to aggressively retire debt and buy back shares -- all while providing a good dividend supported by a payout ratio under 50% of cash flow.  It trades at 6x earnings, 1.1x book and supports a 25% ROE.  We recommend setting a stop-loss at $13, looking to achieve $23 -- upside potential of 33%.  Yield 5.8%

(Analysts’ price target is $22.89)
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Unlock this Panic-proof Portfolio opinion with Stockchase Premium

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

This US homebuilder saw a 14% increase in new orders in Q1.  Renewed consumer confidence will fuel further demand growth.  It trades at 7x earnings, 1.6x book and supports a ROE of 26%.  We recommend setting a stop-loss $14, looking to achieve $27 -- upside potential of 24%.  Yield 0%

(Analysts’ price target is $27.00)
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Unlock this Panic-proof Portfolio opinion with Stockchase Premium

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

NOG recently reported its 21st consecutive quarter of positive cash flow -- allowing for a payout ratio of under 33% of cash flow to cover its robust dividend yield.  It trades at 7x earnings, 1.1x book and supports a ROE of 29%.  We recommend setting a stop-loss at $21, looking to achieve $36 -- upside potential of 30%.  Yield 6.1%

(Analysts’ price target is $36.79)
COMMENT

The TSX keeps creating highs. He's been asked, Why own the TSX instead of the U.S. during tariffs? People were getting fear fatigue over tariffs, getting used to them and moving on with their lives. But we will still see pain and uncertainty in Canadian employment and mortgages. That said, markets still bounce or fall over what Trump says on a given day. US consumers will have to pay more for things made around the world, given tariffs and drive inflation. His greatest concern is that companies are not hiring because of uncertainty caused by tariffs. We're probably already in a recession. GDP per capita is flat at best, and the rest of this year could be tough for Canada.

WEAK BUY

They own Empire Life plus investments including United Corp., which conservative, quality and long-term. Their long-term annual return is around 9%, good. You can buy this now at a discount to NAV, but still trails its historic discount. Are erratic dividend payers.

BUY

We need better ag machines to feed the world, ever-demanding more food, and Deere is front and center of that. They use big data to reduce crop nutrients, so they are on the leading edge of farming. Is a little concerned about their financing. But this is good the next 5-10 years.

BUY

It's the best Canadian bank performing so far this year, but the worst in 2024. Their US problems are not yet behind them (they have to work through the asset cap, part of the penalty for money laundering). They have limited growth in the US, but also won't need capital to grow. So they could buy back shares. TD trades at a discount, so he likes this for the long term.

DON'T BUY

They operate in Asia where there is serious growth, but also it's very competitive. Better to buy a Canadian bank which enjoys an oligopoly.

RISKY

The largest miner today, in iron ore and copper. Mining is risky; it takes a long time to see if whatever you dig out of the ground will sell. He likes BHP's diversification. Iron ore is in safer countries, copper not, so BHP is attractive in this way. There remains good demand for copper. Trades at 12-13x PE and nice balance sheet. but a little risky.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

This German defense contractor is benefiting from an upsurge in German government defence spending, but the valuation is getting excessive. But this is good long term given European defense spending.

COMMENT
Best quantum stock

Look at cybersecurity because quantum will be able to crack encrypted data that is everywhere now. Can't choose a single company (Palantir's PE is 200x), but consider an ETF.

WEAK BUY

It holds a variety of grocers, including lower-end, plus Shoppers Drug Mart which performs well. Has owned this for 5-6 years. But it trades at 23x forward PE vs. historically 15-20x, so that's a caveat. Would still buy it.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 05/25, Up 12%)

The US is their biggest market where there's overcapacity in milk-cheese, so SAP has to work through that. They used to earn 10% operating margins there, but now it's a loss. But if they recover there and continue to grow in Canada and internationally, this will look cheap. The Canadian market is more about retail, not food service in the US, so more stable with more pricing power. 

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 05/25, Up 13%)

Hip and knee medical equipment is what they make. Trades at a big discount to Stryker. Benefits from an aging population as well as sports injuries. Has long-term growth. The US is half their market.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 05/25, Up 13%)

They have a lot of sports titles. They lost FIFA, but have their own soccer franchise, plus baseball and basketball. Sports are steady as opposed to companies depending on a few hit games. Ultimately, someone will buy them out, like Netflix  or Amazon or Apple, who could pay twice the multiple.