As prices rise, value drops. Earning must keep up. Valuations are getting stretch, around the low-20s. Reasons are that the Fed is cutting interest rates while corporate profits have been buoyant. Early earnings this quarter are promising. But we must keep our feet on the ground. Multiples no longer are expanding, so earnings must support strong stock prices. The double-digit returns of recent years were unusual. Now, he is overweight financials--there will be loan and therefore economic growth, and the banks are cheap, trading around 12-14x PE.
It's now profitable. He bought it before this and before they entered the S&P 500. It has more room to run with many untapped opportunities, given that 100 million people use their app; is a massive opportunity in advertising. Uber Eats is gaining traction, and the Robotaxi by Tesla is promising. With driverless cars, Uber's market could explode.
Has owned this for nearly 25 years when it was Priceline.com. An asset-lite company, so few capital investments. Their success comes from relationships with European hotels, which are small and not big chains (as in the U.S.). BKNG now owns Kayak, Open Table among many. Connected Trips is their latest success. Trades below the market PE. He predicts $200 EPS in the next report, so growing rapidly. People continue to travel.
Trades at 14x PE. Is the biggest P&C insurer in the world and 4th insurer overall. Their combined ratio is around 80, so they have a high margin in their underwriting business. Investments are excellent, with 80% in bonds enjoying strong returns. A predictable, safe business. They have pricing power. Catastrophes like hurricanes in the long run give insurers a chance to enhance revenues.