In the morning, he looks at the Wall Street futures. Are people in a good or bad mood? The TSX and S&P are at highs now; the U.S. has been cutting rates so close to the election, which is odd. Inflation is probably here to stay, given sharp raises for longshoremen and pilots. He fears if Canada cuts rates faster than the US, the CAD can fall below 70 cents. Oil prices will spike if the Middle East situation continues to deterioriate. Will Iran's supply be cut off?
Has mixed thoughts. It's his favourite Canadian bank stock. The market had expected a $3 billion fine, but the 10% plunge in share price the last two days is reacting to TD not allowed to grow its core banking business in the US. Wells Fargo was hit with a similar fine and those shares have done little for 5 years. TD will probably recover back to $87 over the next little while. It will bounce, but will underperform several years compared to Canadian peers.
Don't buy stocks according to who may or may not get elected. Also, the transition from fossil fuels to renewables will take a while. In general, if you're overweight a particular stock, then sell some and re-allocate. He expects the pipeline business to remain good, especially with lower interest rates.