Market outlook. Important to be optimistic about the economy. We are out of the shortest recession ever. Economic cycles tend to run for several years. It makes sense to be involved primarily in cyclical businesses. What makes sense last year and now is not the same. They are shifting towards higher quality companies. Want to avoid the strong performers that came back from near death.
Industrials and tech. With the economy coming back to life, capital spending should increase. Industrials is a good place to be. Process control, HVACs, and semiconductors are places to look at. In terms of tech, software investment should do well, such as Microsoft and Adobe.
Financials and interest rates. The really hard work of interest rates rising from near zero to more normal levels may be largely over. Rates might go higher but the curve tends to flatten when Feds start to taper. Financials have the ability to grow. we have most likely seen the maximum steepness of the curve.
Sectors to avoid. Avoiding the defensive spaces. Have no investments in utilities. Not a place to be since it outperforms and only outperforms by not going down as much in a bear market. Getting exposure to the expanding economy is important.
(A Top Pick Aug 31/20, Up 18%) Has an opportunity to improve their margins. Have some concerns about outperforming the market. There is a lot of demand for housing builds but there is a shortage of housing trades and materials. Will require some time for them to increase thrust. A hold right now.
(A Top Pick Aug 31/20, Up 51%) Remains well positioned and still likes it. The construction chemical products are used in green construction. US and European green movement is a tailwind. LEED certifications is great for them since they have beat competitors with their tech.
(A Top Pick Aug 31/20, Up 32%) A very fine company. Has moved to the sidelines since he thinks the company has achieved maximum movement. Continues to watch this area. Has some steep competition so moved out. Prefers to be more oriented towards auto-motives and aerospace.