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COMMENT
Market Outlook When he was on in January, the end of 2018 was very weak. He thought then it was a correction in a bull market. Now, we have taken out 2018 highs, economically sensitive sectors like finance and tech have made new highs. This is not the sign of the end of the bull market. He thinks we have another 24-30 months of upside. Investors are not positioned for this as they have worried about Trump, trade wars, etc. Money has moved into highly defensive sectors instead like telcos and REITs. We are set up for a good run ahead of us.
BUY
Despite fears of recession and slow down, we have seen a nice turnaround over the last 8 weeks in autos. MG-T has little exposure to China trade issues. It pays a nice dividend and has a free cash flow yield of 13%. He expects an acceleration in manufacturing is coming and there is strong consumer spending. Yield 2.6%
Automotive
HOLD
His bias is to be leaning to sectors that would benefit from re-inflation. BA fits into this camp. They have the 737Max issue, but there are only two global airline manufacturers and there is no excess supply. The company will get through this. There will still be tough news flow, but hearings are already underway and it has been dragged through the media already. Over 2-3 years you will do very well.
Transportation
HOLD
AMT vs CCI? AMT has been a gift that keeps on giving. In the REIT space, it has great dividend growth. 5G is coming down the pipe and they are well positioned. Tactically, there may be some re-allocation going on that may cause some pull back. CCI is similar and both offer dividend growth.
Telecommunications
HOLD
AMT vs CCI? AMT has been a gift that keeps on giving. In the REIT space, it has great dividend growth. 5G is coming down the pipe and they are well positioned. Tactically, there may be some re-allocation going on that may cause some pull back. CCI is similar and both offer dividend growth.
Business Services
HOLD
The financial services group looks interesting and he is big into the space. Repricing of commissions will be challenging and it hampers SCHW's margins. If you think the yield curve steepens, this will help them. He would continue to hold, but there are others that he prefers like JPM.
investment companies
funds
HOLD
The financial services group looks interesting and he is big into the space. Repricing of commissions will be challenging and it hampers SCHW's margins. If you think the yield curve steepens, this will help them. He would continue to hold, but there are others that he prefers like JPM.
Financial Services
BUY ON WEAKNESS
This has been an investment for him for many years. They grow sales faster than GDP growth and dividend growth is 25% a year. Not a big dividend however. He likes home builders and the suppliers to home builders. A leading stock in a leading sector, he thinks. A healthy pullback, that he would buy into.
specialty stores
