Today, Peter Hodson commented about whether PEO-X, AVO-T, TV-T, GSY-T, ATP-T, CGY-T, FTN-T, KWH.UN-T, SHOP-T, FRII-T, SVI-T, TSGI-T, ITP-T, PHO-T, ECA-T, STN-T, TOY-T, PKI-T, GC-T, PHM-X, BCB-T, CRH-T, CM-T, BUS-X, CGX-T, OTEX-T, BBD.B-T are stocks to buy or sell.
He likes the company. It gets a lower valuation because a lot of them have been taken out. OTEX-T is one of the last ones left in the space. Their acquisition record has been phenomenal. They have a good balance sheet and a good risk profile. As they grow the market multiple should grow. Their track record of earnings had problems in the past.
The stock is quite viable after the decline. The US comparable names are not doing too well. They have a near monopoly in Canada and they are diversifying. A really good movie slate could really change things for the company. It has a nice dividend and is more of an income stock than a growth stock at present. There is no rush here. Movies themselves are a social event. They are all about 15 teenagers going to the movies. Investors see it as a dying industry so the multiple doesn’t get pushed up.
It is going through a dynamic process. They sold the bottling division and are focusing on coffee, water and tea. There has been a lot of consolidation in those businesses. Their debt is going down. The strategy shift is exactly what they needed to do. Don’t rush, but as the balance sheet improves they will do better.
Their last couple of quarters have been a very nice turnaround. It was a big acquisition story. Now things are getting back into control. He is not big on turnarounds until they have turned around a little further. If they can put in a couple more quarters they will do much better. You’ve got some time to buy it.
Markets. Trump still has a twitter account and the economic agenda is not moving forward still. If there is a time you are not worried, then you should sell everything. What will scare people, are surprise interest rate rises and that is probably not going to happen. Corporate earnings are doing okay. Canada is doing okay. You never know when inflation is going to show up. Metal prices are doing quite well. There are some bets being made for future inflation. We are just not quite there yet. The TSX really needs to pick up speed. It has been a loser this year. He says to forget the TSX and just have a lot of sector representation. Don’t ignore the sectors that are doing poorly.