Energy. Right now we still have very high inventories with no real strong demand. We have increasing production in excess of world demand. Still thinks the price of oil is too high at present. On the equity side, the TSX is trading at a multiple of forward earnings at around 19X, but when you look at energy, it is trading at 42-43 times.
This is a company that is doing everything right. Increasing their national footprint. Expect synergies and cost savings with its integration with Shoppers. Valuation is high, but it reflects the fact that we are still 40%-45% off in terms of the price of energy, which has implications for the consumer which he thinks are going to be long-lasting. Also, this is a more defensive area to hang out in.
(A Top Pick March 3/14. Down 2.55%.) Sold his holdings, but got back in. They make cabin interiors for aircraft. Aerospace cycle has been picking up. Did a spin-out of one of their fixture divisions. A really good manufacturing company. Growth has been a little questionable in the last little while.
If you are looking for exposure in the gold space, you have no better alternative than this one. He believes the US$ will continue to strengthen, and in that environment gold is going to be more challenged. This company has the lowest costs in terms of bringing gold out of the ground. The lack of geopolitical risks is attractive.
Markets. Rising bond yields globally are telling us that a rate increase is here, and is also signalling that growth is a little bit stronger than what we had been led to believe. He is expecting a very strong 2nd quarter. Expects a token move in interest rates, and that is the start of a bond rally that has been going on for more than 30 years. It is also the start of another move higher in equities, because on a relative basis, stocks look cheap compared to bonds. Thinks we are seeing growth even though it may be masked with the short term numbers we have seen economically.