Today, Bill Carrigan commented about whether ELD-T, WEF-T, HBM-T, ACQ-T, ATD.B-T, ZIN-T, ATRL-T, MPVD-T, IMO-T, TD-T, JO-N, TSGI-T, SCL-T, CSX-Q, SLF-T, CEU-T, TDG-T, AUQ-T, XMA-T, LUN-T, ATS-T, PD-T, SU-T, VRX-T, ABUS-Q, BNP-T, AGT-T, BB-T are stocks to buy or sell.
If this is gas related, it is probably okay. It will at least run back up to the old highs, and maybe higher. He is kind of dubious about anything that is oil related. We’ll probably get a rally in here, but he thinks the lower fruit has been picked in the energy sector. The chart looks like a long A B C. He would be careful of this At $14, he would start reducing.
He looked at this on a “point and figure” chart and it had a breakdown, which he always respects. Chart shows a descending triangle and then it has broken out of the bottom, which is never a good thing. They could rally up to the breakdown and then fail again. If you own, he would reduce into that rally.
He is not too excited about the oil side, but feels better about the oilfield services side. If you are going to have exposure to energy, it probably should be through the oilfield services. This is one of the leaders, so if capital money managers, etc. are going to go somewhere, they’ll go to this company. Chart shows a breakout in February, followed by a corrective period at around $13. It probably works higher and will take out the top.
Gold. He likes gold, because the US$ has had quite a rally over the past 6-8 weeks. Usually a rally in the US$ is going to hurt gold, but it didn’t. It’s very unusual to have both of these rally, and it’s a very bullish sign for gold. Any reasonable gold stock, unless it has a mine in a dangerous place, probably should be held. It is important that from June of last year, we are seeing higher lows. It is just a matter of time until the pivot point of March 2014 will be taken out.
Markets. These markets are aging. They are in year 5. As a market ages, it starts to rotate, which he thinks is happening. We are moving out of high-priced assets or assets that have been working and into assets that have a bad reputation for not working. The current market can go on for quite a while. Watch the 200 day moving averages. Most indices corrected back down and bounced off the 200 day, and will probably continue higher. As long as the 200 day is pointed upward in a rising trajectory, we have a bull market. Financials have not rolled over and are still in an uptrend. The Dow broke the 200, but he doesn’t trust the new Dow. They screwed it up by putting too many consumer stocks in it. In a rotation, you have 1) leading sectors, 2) coincident sectors and 3) lagging sectors. Currently we are going through the coincident sector. We are done with consumers so we are moving into industrial and technology, and then we are going to work into materials, which are coming along too. If he had to pick one sector where he wanted to be now, besides materials it would be industrials in both US and Canada, but particularly in Canada. ETF’s are probably the best way to play this market. If you are a good stock picker, what you can do is pick a sector that you like, and then you can drill into the sector and pick a few stocks.