Today, Peter Hodson commented about whether FSV-Q, TSGI-T, CSS-T, LGT.B-T, DFN-T, EFN-T, GCL-T, E-T, MNW-T, YRI-T, CR-T, GSY-T, CLS-T, QTRH-T, HLF-T, CSU-T, DHX.B-T, PRW-T, KBL-T, FSZ-T, BYD-T, HWO-T, HBM-T, POU-T, TOU-T, SGY-T, CUS-T, BDGI-T, ECA-T, AVO-T are stocks to buy or sell.
High definition surveillance cameras. Captured a lot of market share, and the company was growing very, very fast. Over 50% growth for the past 8 years prior to them going public. They went public and the stock went crazy. Everybody loved it, and then their CFO quit on the day of earnings. Everybody panicked. Stock is very volatile, and this is a high-growth company in a high-growth industry. Sales growth is 50%-70%, profit margins are increasing and the company is sitting on about $100 million in cash. He likes it.
Probably his least favourite stock in the oil/gas sector prior to the PrairieSky IPO. Did an asset spin out that created a lot of value. That stock is now running and you are back to the parent company. They cut their dividend and were having a hard time growing. It is just a low growth scenario with a low dividend. Has disappointed for 10-15 years. There is no need to own this.
A fabulous company that is growing very quickly and capturing a lot of the utility market. Stock had a huge run and they split it 3 for 1. Now it is in kind of a pause mode. People are worried about them sustaining the growth. This is a great company in an industry that is growing, and they are the market leader in that industry. At this price it is a pretty good bargain. Won't triple like it did in the past couple of years, but for a solid growing company it looks very good. Well-managed.
Had this as a C+ rating, but lowered it to a C, which is a “Don’t Buy”. Not attractive on very many matrix right now. They cut their dividend. Diluted shareholders quite substantially this past year. Had cost overruns on some of their projects. Better to wait until all the problems are fixed. Any time a company cuts its dividend, the remaining dividend is always suspect.
Compared to Whitecap (WCP-T) and Torc (TOG-T)? These are all dividend growth stories with good management teams. All 3 are definitely in the top quartile. Likes this one quite a lot, primarily because he knows the management team. CEO has been a very aggressive buyer of his own shares. This is a company that has done some deals quickly, have raised their dividends at least twice over the past couple of quarters, production growth looks good with a rock solid management team in terms of geographic focus and asset mix.
Tourmaline (TOU-T) or Paramount (POU-T)? This is a case where you have to choose the better of 2 good companies. They are both pretty good, but he would put this one far and away, as probably the best managed company in the oil/gas sector. Their forecasted growth is very much in the bag. Very visible over the next 3 or 4 years. They don’t pay a dividend.
Hasn’t been that impressed with this company over the past few years, but they have turned things around significantly. Primarily because zinc is starting to move, this company is looking much, much better. In terms of production and leverage to zinc, he thinks it is viable now, and more so than it has been in quite some time. Thinks there is going to be a shift toward more cyclical companies, and metal companies should get the benefit of that.
Doesn’t cover this, so his knowledge is not that deep. Have good dividends, good growth and a good management team. Have done some good acquisitions. The sector itself looks pretty good. Oil/gas companies, with the renewed pricing of oil, are starting to spend more. The service sector is looking good. One of those where it is a nice small company at the right time in the right sector, and gives you a dividend while you are waiting.
(A Top Pick in June 21/13. Up 21.06%.) Still likes. Stock has been a little quiet recently. Did a couple of US acquisitions, and a lot of people were excited about their potential rolling into the US. It is one of those companies where slow and steady is the name of the game. Pays a nice dividend. Up to $85 billion in assets. Earnings growth is good. A solid, long-term keeper in the asset management space.
(A Top Pick in June 21/13. Up 20.16%.) They get 10 year laundry contracts from government agencies, hospitals, prisons, etc. They build a facility, get the contract and run that through, and just take a cut of the profits along the way. Likes the long-term stability of the company. If the economy is going to roll over you want to own this company for their dividend and revenue visibility. 3.1% dividend yield.
This and a couple of other smaller companies are oil/gas engineer contractors and doing lots of work in the oil/gas sector, particularly for the LNG sector. This one is well-managed and relatively small. Valuation is pretty attractive. Growth potential is very much there. It is viewed as the company with the most LNG potential. This is one of those companies that you may have to give a 5 year timeframe to, as they are long-term projects. Every once in a while these companies lose money on a fixed price contract, which you really have to watch out for. However, he thinks this is strong enough to continue, but he also thinks this sector is ripe for acquisitions.
A great example of a management team that have spun out and done it all before. They are now picking out libraries like Teletubbies and forming timeless content for children. This is great, because there isn’t a language issue as it is very easy to dub these into other languages. The value of their library is probably higher than what people are giving them credit for. This is a 5 year timeframe, where they will build up their library and ultimately decide to sell it to big media enterprises. Good company and very well-managed.
Markets. There are always smart people on both sides of every trade. Going back through the past 40 years, every time there has been a market top he can give you smart people that are saying keep buying, and smart people saying that it is going to be over tomorrow. You cannot predict these things. His customers are very worried about a correction, but he sees good earnings, good valuations and low interest rates, so it is not a problem in terms of what he sees going forward. Long-term trend looks pretty good right now. We are in the middle of a long-term shift, away from bonds and into stocks. In 2009, we were in a truly different type of economy. 2009, 2010 and 2011 was a recovery. Now we are into the regular type of economic recovery. Better job growth, better earnings and companies are spending again. Interest rates are going to go up one of these days, but they are going to go up because the economy is strong, not because they have to go back up to 10%.