US Markets. Manufacturing data and ISI Truckers survey are telling him that things are strong in the US. The ISI numbers are as strong as they have been in almost 8 years. This deals with things that are manufactured and shipped in the US. Unemployment numbers are starting to look better, and wages are starting to go up. From a top down point of view, the US is looking like the strongest place to invest in.
What is the principal purpose and reason for the existence of American Depository Receipts (ADRs)? What is the advantage of owning a depository receipt versus simply buying a stock directly? He does not buy the ADRs as he has access to markets around the world. ADRs are there to allow retail investors to participate in a non-US name in the US stock market. It adds to an investor’s ability to buy shares, where they don’t have access to Europe, Asia, etc.
Diabetes is the primary driver of the story behind this company. Well-run company, and is dominant in the diabetes field. Diabetes is considered pandemic, so if you are a leader in the production of a product that caters to diabetes, then you should do very well. This is trading at about 25X forward earnings, and the growth rate is probably half that, so it has a PEG ratio of about 2. He typically tries to avoid companies trading at this high a growth rate.
(A Top Pick June 7/13. Down 11.38%.) Still likes this a lot. Has suffered in the last 12 months because of 1) the very strong sterling, and 2) testing inspection for commodities has declined, as demand for commodities has declined. Opportunity for them is still there, because more and more companies are outsourcing their testing inspecting. The real kicker is China. Right now you can’t do inspection for China in China, but China is talking about opening it up to foreign competitors, and this is one of the big 3.
(A Top Pick June 7/13. Down 19.32%.) Since he selected this, he has switched into the parent Femsa. This company was facing some taxes because of the sugary drinks. Still likes the business and management. The parent company also has business in convenience stores, and now have expanded into pharmacies, as well as a stake in Heineken.
This is China’s Google. Have done a great job of catching up to Google (GOOG-Q). They’ve had their eye on the ball, and are focused on the transformation to mobile, and are making money from it. Growth rate in earnings this year is going to slow, but the growth rate in revenues is not slowing. They are reinvesting significantly in mobile, which he feels is the right strategy.
Markets. We should be a little bit concerned about the Portugal banking incident as we don’t want to see contagion happen. Right now it is a one-off, and has a little bit to do with a parent company transferring some debt. Hopefully it is contained. There are definitely still problems in European markets. In Spain and Portugal particularly, as well as Italy things are a little bit volatile. We are going to get periods where we hear this, and then it will quiet down. Doesn’t think it is an endemic problem any more, but if there is a slowdown in the economic peripheral parts of Europe, it will start to bubble up again.