Latest Expert Opinions

Signal
Opinion
Expert
COMMENT
COMMENT
August 15, 2012

Stock has a tendency to bottom at around the end of July and tends to move higher into September at least. Also has a period of seasonal strength later in the year as well. Chart indicates the stock is finally showing signs of bottoming. Gold stocks are really oversold this year and are due for a bit of a move on the upside. Gold stocks have started to outperform gold itself.

Goldcorp Inc (G-T)
August 15, 2012

Stock has a tendency to bottom at around the end of July and tends to move higher into September at least. Also has a period of seasonal strength later in the year as well. Chart indicates the stock is finally showing signs of bottoming. Gold stocks are really oversold this year and are due for a bit of a move on the upside. Gold stocks have started to outperform gold itself.

Don Vialoux
Research Analyst, TimingTheMarket.CA & EquityClock.COM
Price
$36.240
Owned
Unknown
BUY
BUY
August 15, 2012

This stock has significantly outperformed the other gold stocks. Chart shows a nice bottom has formed at around the end of July and is showing signs that it wants to go higher. This stock shows very strong seasonality and looks like it wants to do it once again.

Yamana Gold Inc. (YRI-T)
August 15, 2012

This stock has significantly outperformed the other gold stocks. Chart shows a nice bottom has formed at around the end of July and is showing signs that it wants to go higher. This stock shows very strong seasonality and looks like it wants to do it once again.

Don Vialoux
Research Analyst, TimingTheMarket.CA & EquityClock.COM
Price
$14.930
Owned
Unknown
WATCH
WATCH
August 15, 2012

Bank stocks have a very important role, usually right around the end of September when they move significantly higher right through until the end of December. Has a lot to do with expectation for good news to be released at report time, usually around the end of December. Caution: usually in the month of August and into early September bank stocks have a tendency to go down and actually underperform. He could see this one going down to the $50 level, which would be an opportunity to accumulate.

Royal Bank (RY-T)
August 15, 2012

Bank stocks have a very important role, usually right around the end of September when they move significantly higher right through until the end of December. Has a lot to do with expectation for good news to be released at report time, usually around the end of December. Caution: usually in the month of August and into early September bank stocks have a tendency to go down and actually underperform. He could see this one going down to the $50 level, which would be an opportunity to accumulate.

Don Vialoux
Research Analyst, TimingTheMarket.CA & EquityClock.COM
Price
$52.720
Owned
Unknown
HOLD
HOLD
August 15, 2012

Chart shows a long-term upward trend from the middle of 2010. Recently there has been an accelerated move on a break above the consolidation pattern at around $43. As a rule of thumb, you can take the move that you had from early 2012 up to the $43 and look for as similar percentage move upwards to possibly $55 so it does have additional upside potential, but remember you also had a huge move already.

Chart shows a long-term upward trend from the middle of 2010. Recently there has been an accelerated move on a break above the consolidation pattern at around $43. As a rule of thumb, you can take the move that you had from early 2012 up to the $43 and look for as similar percentage move upwards to possibly $55 so it does have additional upside potential, but remember you also had a huge move already.

Don Vialoux
Research Analyst, TimingTheMarket.CA & EquityClock.COM
Price
$50.950
Owned
Unknown
BUY
BUY
August 15, 2012

This has 2 periods of seasonal strength. 1) From July right through until October and 2) from the end of January until April. Chart shows it has found support and is starting to show some early signs of recovery during the current period of seasonal strength. (See Top Picks.)

Suncor Energy Inc (SU-T)
August 15, 2012

This has 2 periods of seasonal strength. 1) From July right through until October and 2) from the end of January until April. Chart shows it has found support and is starting to show some early signs of recovery during the current period of seasonal strength. (See Top Picks.)

Don Vialoux
Research Analyst, TimingTheMarket.CA & EquityClock.COM
Price
$31.750
Owned
Unknown
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
August 15, 2012

Now is a negative period of seasonal strength for stocks like this. Tend to be under a lot of pressure this time of year. Mining and metal stocks tend to move higher, normally from around the end of November right through until the end of May each year. Chart shows a very long downward trend from the beginning of 2011 with an accelerated downward trend in 2012. Watch the technical action for coal in Market Vectors Coal ETF (KOL-N). It has come down a long ways but hasn’t shown any signs of bottoming yet. Probably November will be a better time.

Now is a negative period of seasonal strength for stocks like this. Tend to be under a lot of pressure this time of year. Mining and metal stocks tend to move higher, normally from around the end of November right through until the end of May each year. Chart shows a very long downward trend from the beginning of 2011 with an accelerated downward trend in 2012. Watch the technical action for coal in Market Vectors Coal ETF (KOL-N). It has come down a long ways but hasn’t shown any signs of bottoming yet. Probably November will be a better time.

Don Vialoux
Research Analyst, TimingTheMarket.CA & EquityClock.COM
Price
$28.660
Owned
Unknown
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
August 15, 2012

(A Top Pick Jun22/12. Down 1.86%.) (Actually bought this around July 23rd.) Gold stocks should now take off because of seasonal factors. Seasonality will last at least until the beginning of October. In order to go into a seasonal trade like this, it has to be outperforming the market and also has to move above its 20 day moving average, which it did at around the end of July. Will probably add to this on any kind of weakness. You could use the Canadian equivalent iShares S&P/TSX Global Gold (XGD-T). The whole sector looks interesting from the end of July until the end of September.

(A Top Pick Jun22/12. Down 1.86%.) (Actually bought this around July 23rd.) Gold stocks should now take off because of seasonal factors. Seasonality will last at least until the beginning of October. In order to go into a seasonal trade like this, it has to be outperforming the market and also has to move above its 20 day moving average, which it did at around the end of July. Will probably add to this on any kind of weakness. You could use the Canadian equivalent iShares S&P/TSX Global Gold (XGD-T). The whole sector looks interesting from the end of July until the end of September.

Don Vialoux
Research Analyst, TimingTheMarket.CA & EquityClock.COM
Price
$44.150
Owned
Yes