Transalta Corp, Winpak Ltd. and More at 52-week Highs & Lows (Jun 29-Jul 05)
Recession fears pressured stocks in New York Tuesday, but they recovered by the end of the session. The S&P rose 0.16%, the Nasdaq 1.75% though the Dow closed -0.42%. The U.S. 10-year yield continued to fade, down to 2.825% though Bitcoin bounced 3% to $20,400.
After a month of having only one 52-week high stock every week, we finally have a few to write about. The utility stock Transalta Corp (TA-T) , the industrial Winpak Ltd. (WPK-T), and the healthcare Bellus Health (BLU-T) are on this week’s 50-week high list.
Here are this week’s 52-week high and low stocks on Stockchase:
52-Week High TSX Stocks
Here’s this week’s 52-week high stocks on Stockchase…
The outlook is still quite good. People who use their competing chronic cough treatment lose their sense of taste. They are applying now for their drug's use for other conditions.
Mainly in Alberta. Pivoting away from coal, towards renewables. 50% valuation discount to pure play renewable power generators. Defensive like a utility, but backdoor play on strength in the oil patch. Bought it for the income, as well as potential capital appreciation. Breaking out on the charts. Yield is 1.40%. (Analysts’ price target is $16.45)
Their customer base is the food industry and it does not grow that much. This company can only grow when they make acquisitions. There is nothing wrong with it but there is not enough upside to buy. It is a good company.
52-Week Low TSX Stocks
Here’s this week’s 52-week lows stocks on Stockchase…
Issues around balance sheet, leverage, and selling assets. Struggling to have positive earnings. Look to other names for industrial exposure, such as WCN, CP, or CNR. All 3 of these names have good long-term economic moats, generate free cashflow, fairly high quality, can see earnings growth over time, and have sold off with the market.
(A Top Pick Jul 02/21, Down 3%) A play over the next year. If you look at housing demand in US and Canada over the next 5 years, there will be increasing demand for lumber. Trading at only 2x this year's earnings. Earnings for 2022 will be solid.
Their model is based on getting royalties off the cannabis companies they produce. They've done some smart deals and have been able to put pressure on producers who needed money. Not sure why it moved so down today.
John: He's been buying recently. Consumer discretionary stocks have been crushed. Travel will pick up again, especially domestic travel. Modified planes to take on more cargo. Solidified the balance sheet. Valuation looks impressive, down 75% from the pre-pandemic peak.
Construction and industrials have had a tough share price environment. He owns ARE instead, for its more stable public sector exposure. Likes the space broadly. How can companies pass through inflation? Pandemic labour shortages are, hopefully, in the rearview mirror. See his Top Picks.
It is earning enough to re-instate the dividend but management would like to accumulate retained earnings for now due to the balance sheet not being quite where they want it. Trading close to book value. Based on current earnings the fair market value is 100% above the price. If it goes above the price then…
Likes it as a business. Time is not now. Well run. Great free cashflow, great economics. Well positioned for EV. Watch and wait. Storm clouds of a recession, and this would hurt. Be patient.
Large projects might be harder to finance with interest rates shooting up. The group's in a good position to do well over the next number of years. Has come back from its troubled days. Likes exposure to the area, but this one is more expensive than peers.
Allan Tong’s Discover Picks Air Transat is less desirable. Not exactly beloved by Canadian consumers, Transat isn’t receiving much affection from investors either. Last week, CIBC lowered its target on the hapless airline from $4.00 to $3.00 to underperform. Currently, there are three sells and one hold, with a $3.48 price target that is about…
Extracts protein from vegetables like canola, peas, and soy. Has 285 patents. There is negligible revenue despite the company being around for more than 20 years. Difficult to apply fundamental analysis. Too speculative for him. Need to see revenue and profit.
It has struggled since IPO. They are now optimizing their stores. They have had a hard time growing their profits. He would wait until they start to show some profit growth.
Again, we're in a bear market. Story stocks do not do well. He'd put EVs as story stocks. These companies have caught everyone's imagination, but there's a lot of winnowing to do.
Concern about kitchens being in Taiwan, potential for invasion by China. Supplying semiconductor companies cuts costs and increases sales volume. Continues to add brands and hubs. Revenue line still increasing, so he still likes.
Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. Has surprised investors with a good acquisition of WOW. The deal added 200,000 internet and 61,000 video customers. This has added scale while diversifying the business. Significant growth opportunities. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
The dividend is not coming back and they should be putting money into growth. The valuation is OK so can hold for the long term. But there others in the sector that he prefers.
(A Top Pick Apr 28/21, Down 67.4%) Are building online grocery sales now. When he recommended it, he expected another leg up--and shares rose last summer on good numbers. But he sold this around $10 because he was concerned the company was no longer focusing on meal kits and was spending a lot to enter…
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Summer is not the time to think about parkas, but it is a great time to buy the stock of GOOS. Recently reported earnings beat expectations and recorded the company's record sales of over $1 billion and management guidance expects $1.3-$1.4 billion in 2022. Online sales margins are 76%. Non-parka…
A great one to buy at the height of Covid. This has come back with a vengeance. Amazing Q4 report and the housing market is on fire. Factors lined up for ZZZ. They've managed debt well. It's a one-product business, though, so keep that in mind and don't pay a big PE. Their growth will…
🛢 Basic Materials
They have option agreements with major partner Rio Tinto, but these have been under dispute for the past year. It's worth tens of millions of dollars. The stock has fallen because of this battle; investors have lost patience. He owned this before the legal battle and didn't want to wait for it to be sorted…
This now has a project in Mongolia which has epithermal veins, which he loves. When you do find them and they carry great grades, it can grow really fast. This has a 50 g/meter width quite prominent with something like 16% which gets him excited. Still very early stage.
They are a developer, early stage, and looked to be on to a big discovery. Now it looks like a lower grade but economic mine. If you look at the valuation, it still looks like they are onto a high grade discovery. He would move on.
$45 million market cap. It has a gold project in western Quebec and hitting some high-grade at less than a meter, 600+grams/tonne. Their issue is continuity: will this grade continue? Now, it is an interesting play. Brent Cook: It's a narrow, high-grade vein but could be diluted which is a concern.
A silver play in Mexico, one of the last great potential silver discoveries, i.e., an extension of the vein in terms of the length, width and depth. A great play and a good speculation.
Probably a cheaper way to own Detour Mines (DGC-T) as they own shares that are trading at about a 25% discount to the market price.
They have a large Brazilian gold deposit. The problem here are indigenous people challenges there and a government contract that pays out a crazy amount to the managers. This payout is not aligned to the shareholders' interests. Then again, it's a cheap stock vs. gold in the ground.
Mixed performance, valuation still quite cheap at 5x cashflow, 8x price to earnings. Balance sheet is fine. Fortunes are made and lost with the underlying price of copper. Likes copper in general for electrification of the grid, short supply, and ESG.
Copper should do well in times of inflation, electrification of the economy, ESG, under-supplied. Recent merger cuts balance sheet risk, doubles down on Chile operations, makes it more mature and diversified. Cheap at 15x earnigs. Good on momentum and volatile, but a bit more volatile. No dividend. (Analysts’ price target is $8.63)
Leveraged to the gold price, which he thinks will go higher, so there's upside. But you'll experience volatility first. It's consolidating with smaller mines, which increases stock liquidity and cashflow. Are you prepared to stomach the volatility in order to reap the profit?
They have three gold mines around the world. A huge 13.7% free cash flow yield; FCF grew over 200% YOY to $244 million. Sales were up 63% in the recent quarter. Cash flow is expected to grow in 2021 26%, and the ROE to be 26% in the coming year. Gold has momentum, says the…
Gold companies remain cheap vs. the price of gold itself. There's a lot of room for upside. He's been taking profits to gold names to add new gold stocks to his portfolio (he specializes in precious metals). This is a hold with an $18 target. ELD has had a nice run.
Can't predict where gold goes from here but at least it hasn't really gone down. Equinox will have a more active second half - there was a shortfall in first half production. Two other major gold companies had massive cost overruns which has affected thee price of Equinox. However their budgets were set before inflationary…
(A Top Pick Dec 23/21, Down 16%) Mainly silver. Had some lumpiness but operations on target now. Expecting 30 million ounces of silver equivalent in 2023. Should do well as a major silver producer. In response to a question re gold and silver he prefers gold as more stable.
Well-run. When the gold price moves, this will too. Own it if you believe this will happen and are patient. Long-term.
They are not getting ahead. It should be okay, but you have to manage the balance sheet and the capital structure and so far they are not doing a good job of that.
Copper's price has plunged in recent days, taking down other metals. Their Manitoba mines are hand-to-mouth, and South American ones still need to be developed. Consider this around $6-7, but it's a lower-quality mining business.
(A Top Pick Dec 04/19, Down 6%) Problems bringing new mine on. Earnings forecasts going up sharply. Upside potential as measured by analysts is quite high. Trading at 40% discount to book value.
The gold trade is comparatively better, but the last year and a half has not been good. It is range bound. Recent highs won't be seen for a while. The competition from crypto as an alternative inflationary hedge compared to gold has pulled a lot of money out of the sector. Thinks it will come…
Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. Good potential in its battery business. Shows good growth, the valuation is historically cheap at 8x earnings and the balance sheet is solid. Would wait for better momentum to add. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. They announced an acquisition today with a total implied equity value of $625M. The move should expand their copper and gold production. The deal is a net positive for the company and 5i believes it will help them expand in the long term. Unlock Premium - Try 5i…
MAG vs. SIL Both world-class deposits. At current prices, he likes both. Complication around MAG is that there's only one obvious bidder. SIL seems to get better and better, as they get farther along the development curve. He owns both, and both are in Buy range today.
Recently upgraded the price target. A play on Newfoundland. Still bullish on it. (Analysts’ price target is $4.00)
On the sidelines until the CEO impresses him; he's having implementation challenges. He's staying on the sidelines for now. Great CEO though.
Recently had a permit on Pumpkin Hollow. Likes the story and the management team. The probable next step for the company would be to arrange funding for development of the underground resource. CapX is not stretched. Long-term, this is a great story.
High-quality deposit. Substantial missteps in community relations. For speculative buyers, spectacular optionality to the upside from its cheap price. For him, there are too many unknowns, political and sociological, on the company's future.
He's not a gold bug, but seeks unloved stocks in unloved sectors. Gold has consolidated nicely and made a good technical turn. His #1 gold holding is FNV-T. TGC has the largest undeveloped deposit in the world and in a safe place (Alaska) with a good partner in Barrick. All tailwinds.
Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. Pays a decent dividend yield of 1.6%. Long-term debt has been significantly reduced. Quite healthy in terms of debt levels and ability to pay them, although ability to service and pay debt has been eroding slightly over time. A lot will depend on the gold…
New entrance in the trending stocks. Operates silver mines across the Americas. World's largest silver producer and holds largest silver reserves globally. Missed their estimated earnings by 50%. Lots of social media mentions due to the earnings report as well as investors wanting to get more exposure to commodities during the current geopolitical tensions.
(A Top Pick Mar 03/20, Up 14%) Are developing gold in Nunavut in a fully-permitted, high-grade, open-pit project. The knock is that it's in a northern frontier which means higher costs to fly in and out supplies, and it's less easy to work up north. He's owned this stock for years and is confident with…
Speculative buy with a $31 target. Has never been too impressed. Big deposit, but needs a lot of money to get it going. He'd rather put his money into producers that are offering cashflow and dividends.
SIL vs. MAG Both world-class deposits. At current prices, he likes both. Complication around MAG is that there's only one obvious bidder. SIL seems to get better and better, as they get farther along the development curve. He owns both, and both are in Buy range today.
Has done well. Keeps getting good hits on the drill. Quite a bit of upside. Take a look at it. $5 price target. If you own it, hold it. Exploring and growing reserves is where you get the exponential reward; whereas reserves on the ground are just leveraged to the price of gold.
Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. A spin off from Equinox. It has interesting projects in South America. The asset portfolio looks good and management is competent. A very good quality developer that is still largely unknown. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
Recently rotated a lot of our precious metal allocation to silver instead of gold. More of a long-term industrial use with the electrification of the world. Precious metals in general should be alive and well for years to come.
This is on his watch list. He is not familiar with their fundamentals. Today's earnings release will help define their future.
The biggest independent zinc producer has had its ups and downs. The new CEO has to navigate 2020, which was tough. Zinc prices have jumped to US$1.25/lb. TV's cost structure is based on $1.10-1.15. TV trades at a deep discount. Zinc doesn't capture the imagination like copper or nickel, though. Zinc prices have benefited from…
Very bullish on the price of gold, has a long way to go. If you go back to 1972-73, which was another peak market, gold tended to do very well. He'd expect the same now. Big setback from 2x book value. FMV is $29. All these gold stocks should be pulled up with the gold…
(A Top Pick Mar 03/20, Down 28%) It operates in Quebec called Fenelon. The resource is there and they are very well-finance (Eric Sprott owns over 20%). Also, Kirkland Lake's CEO sits on the board and owns shares. Perhaps, the market is impatient, which has pressured shares, but WM is careful in moving forward.
Northwest BC is a seasonal play and the season is over--snowing now so there won't be news till June 2020. The entire play got ahead of itself. This will go lower before it goes higher--and it needs results to go higher.
Ashton Bay (BAY-X) TSXV
He cautions people against sole-risk exploration in the far north, but the target is attractive and the managers very good. Caveat: it's aa very thin market cap stock.
He's not too concerned that mining will be nationalized in Peru. Rise in price of the commodity will pay for the increased taxes long term. Still a safe area, but the US will be the best mining jurisdiction. Speculative buy at $5.75. A small cap, so only a small portfolio allocation. Mercedes mine is a…
Potash in an area that is very close to deals that have been happening. On Junior potash plays in Saskatchewan, he is becoming worried about capital spending on account of foreign majors coming in. Concerned about the long-term prospects of this company.
CCL.B-T A great label maker. A fantastic story over the years. He would never recommend selling it. You also have IPT-T and have been selling weak with all the hurricanes in the last weeks. They create a lot of value but there is better value with IPT-T. He holds this over CCL.B-T because IPT-T are…
(Market Call Minute.) Deposit looks good, but it hasn't quite the size or the grade that it needs to move forward.
Can survive but will not thrive. In this market you want to buy the best of the best companies for the rebound. Decent size, low grade deposits and decent people. You want superlatives now.
The guys behind this have had great success in Mexico. They've had not bad results to date. Anything in the silver area is probably going to do well.
Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. The one contract has moved the stock 60%. The contract has given the push the stock needed. A second contract would help support the new base. The volume is a positive sign. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
(A Top Pick Jul 12/21, Down 36%) They do IT outsourcing for small/medium business. CTS buys new companies and increase cross-selling by introducing new services, especially high-margin managed services rather than selling hardware. EBITDA margins should increase from 5% to 10% in the next few years. Still early days in its strategy.
Blockchain miner. Blockchain is like the internet in 1995-96. Once it gets going, you can't stop it. Technology moving forward is diversifying. Investors can participate in the building of the network. $20 target. No dividend. (Analysts’ price target is $22.99)
E-commerce. Painted with the same brush as SHOP. If you own some of these tech names, you need to put protections in place to defend your long positions.
It continues to grow and execute and management has delivered, but the market isn't interested in this type of stock. It did a recent acquisition and financial raise. It is building a digital platform for doctors - patient records etc.
(A Top Pick Apr 08/21, Down 4%) Very specific and good at what they do. Unique assets that tie in to smaller businesses like tech firms. Management's one of the best. "The Well" is leased up completely, and will add to earnings.
Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. They reported a loss of $0.29 vs the expected $0.3. Revenues were up 31% compared to last year at $986 million. Backlog of $6.4B was up nicely from $5.9 a year ago. Saw some good contracts and expansion. Results are fine but cash flows were…
The issue is similar to Morgan Stanley. Investment banking has been affected by the latest trends which include fewer IPO's and less M&A. Wait for the correction to settle.
Dividend pays 4.8% and trades at a low PE, but CIX's asets are down in this market. Usually, fixed income offsets weakness in stocks, but not now. They've made lots of acquisitions, some of which are closing soon, and have taken on a lot of debt. They could spin off some US assets, but doubt…
BNS vs. CIBC or both? If you bought and held Canadian banks in 1976, they would have outperformed the markets. Banks enjoy an oligopoly. CIBC has had everything go wrong in the last 20 years, but they have now regained credibility. CIBC is more exposed to Canada than its peers. BNS is a big player…
Results have lagged competitors in market. Large stock selloff has affected share price. Economic downturn is a worry as company not as large as others. If betting on ability for banks to increase margins, would be a good bet. Current yield is over 5% which is attractive. Bet would be on a soft landing of…
Likes the industrial REITs through and post-pandemic. Great assets. Problem is valuation, plus he's never like the external management contract. See his Top Picks.
Extremely well managed company. Very successful in gaining market share in alternative lending. Launching initiative to become a challenger bank (will be 6th or 7th largest bank in Canada soon). Current share price presenting good buying opportunity. Share price to book value is currently a good price.
Value stock with a great growth profile. In Netherlands, subject to rent control. High population with growth, and job growth. Defensive. 10-12x discount to NAV. Margin expansion during inflation, as all costs such as snow clearing fall to tenants.
He prefers the private space, because they are just getting the trend on how much you are receiving from the mortgages. You are getting a lot more ability, and pricewise it is about the same. Firm Capital is a well-run company.
If you want to own a lender, please own Canadian bank stocks instead. HCG and others don't have the same access to capital, so they can get caught in a liquidity squeeze. Borrowers pay a higher rate of interest. If housing market has a hiccup, HCG would be more exposed than the banks.
Hotels are typically the first sector to go down in a downturn and the first to come out. Today there is zero visibility, however. He would move on from this one.
(A Top Pick Nov 25/21, Down 9.6%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with IGM has triggered its stop at $45. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This results in a net investment loss of 4%, when combined with our other previous buy recommendation.
Sold because the apartment rental theme going into the pandemic had run its course. Higher utility costs, but lagging on increasing rents. Provincial rent control. Need large scale to counteract margin compression. Excellent managers. Valuation high.
Suffering from the macro lens of government policy concerns, which is a great opportunity to take advantage of. Risk/reward is to your favour. Sees return of demand and increasing rents. Wide discount to NAV.
A small-cap company, not focussed on real estate, managed by Dream Unlimited. Focused on renewable energy and have an interest in the office buildings owned by Dream Office REIT. DRA has a growing land base in the GTA for condo sites. It's trading at a discount to NAV. They've traded a substantial issuer bid to…
Sell half of NA to buy BMO? This trade makes sense. Canadian banks have been under pressure given economic slowdown. All the banks grow earnings nicely and return excess capital to shareholders via buybacks and dividends. BMO has done a great job with Bank of the West acquisition. He's tilting toward more US exposure, as…
Distressed asset managers good to look at in a down market. Anyone who has raised fresh capital will be good to look at. Will be a counter cyclical business model. Would pass on Onex for now.
(A Top Pick Jun 01/20, Up 31%) The play on silver is alive and well. This brings that diversity to the portfolio. You actually own the physical silver. Silver is used in battery production as well as industrial uses.
He is not bull on the office space. They have been growing in sub-markets he is not keen on. 37% is in Atlantic Canada and he is not keen on their holdings.
Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. The merger is highly accretive to EBITDA and cash flow. The merger does make sense. It will lower cost of capital over time. They would essentially double their size. The deal is overall positive. It is normal to see some pressure with all-stock deals due…
(A Top Pick Feb 17/22, Down 7%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with NOA has triggered its stop at $18.50. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in a net investment loss of 6%, when combined with the previous buy recommendation.
Has diversified into other areas than straight flower production. Focusing on the US for cannabis. HEXO will survive in Canada. Has not seen much this year. There will be an acceleration soon. Has a dominant position in Quebec. Would look at buying into it.
(A Top Pick Jan 14/21, Up 35.1%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with OGI has triggered its stop at $3.00. We recommend covering the balance of the position at this time. When combined with the previous recommendation to cover half the position, this results in a net investment gain over 46%.
A millionaire stock? Vivid imagination. Hasn't made a penny to date. Balance sheet is sloping down, as it's consuming equity. Every time it takes a run, many people run for the exits. Pure speculation, a gamble, fluctuates wildly. Doesn't see the earnings or explosive growth in the Canadian market.
Too small for his firm. Cyber hacking is an ongoing threat. Clearly, a growing market. Still, the interest rate environment will be toxic for tech.
Use this list wisely to identify buying opportunities.
Happy trading !!!