Opinions
Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA
Vanguard Growth ETF
VUG-T
COMMENT
Aug 13, 2018
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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It's more growth-oriented than the S&P 500. He expects less growth in the US this year than the 20% the last two years, so it's good to look at these buffered ETFs. They give reasonable upside, 8-15%, but also capital preservation around 10-15%. VUG are good to hold in this part cycle to stay invested in stock, with a lot less risk.
It's more growth-oriented than the S&P 500. He expects less growth in the US this year than the 20% the last two years, so it's good to look at these buffered ETFs. They give reasonable upside, 8-15%, but also capital preservation around 10-15%. VUG are good to hold in this part cycle to stay invested in stock, with a lot less risk.
VUG or S&P 500? Late in the investment cycle, growth stocks keep going up, but then very late in the cycle, you want to go into value. In 2000-2, growth underperformed, and value went up. Going to see a similar rotation into value over next 2 years. Underweight growth for the next couple of years, and overweight value. Almost certain recession in next 2 years, and growth always underperforms.