Opinions
Ed Brown
Tapestry Inc.
TPR-N
TOP PICK
Sep 17, 2004
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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Premium contentStockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly TPR is an international manufacturer of luxury items that include the Coach and Kate Spade brands. They have built cash reserves back above $2 billion during the pandemic, while paying down debt. They trade at 16x earnings, compared to peers like RL at 49x. They have re-instated the dividend at a good yield, while keeping the payout ratio under 50% of cash flow. We would buy this with a stop loss at $30, looking to achieve $53.50 -- upside potential over 29%. Yield 2.45%. (Analysts’ price target is $53.13)
Premium contentPremium contentSome high-end names like Louis Vuitton have not been doing well. But TPR has been performing decently. Above 200-day MA, which is moving higher. Mid-high luxury, and that part of the market is doing better. Could be that the ultra-rich are "downshifting" into names owned by this brand.
15.5x forward PE, slightly above 10-year historical norms for this name. 9-10% growth. So valuation is decent. Investors should be cautious about impact of a downturn in the economy on this type of name.
Last year, the FTC blocked the Tapestry-Capri merger to include Kate Space, Versace and Jimmy Choo brands among others. Since then, TPR has soared 148%; announced and accelerated a share buyback; delivered top and bottom line beats and raised forecast for three straight quarters. Drivin this is improving sales in the Coach brand which is stealing market brand. Buy on a pullback or a small position now.