Opinions Andy Nasr
Tapestry Inc.TPRDON'T BUYJul 28, 2016
Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 05, 2026. Market Open.
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Last year, the FTC blocked the Tapestry-Capri merger to include Kate Space, Versace and Jimmy Choo brands among others. Since then, TPR has soared 148%; announced and accelerated a share buyback; delivered top and bottom line beats and raised forecast for three straight quarters. Drivin this is improving sales in the Coach brand which is stealing market brand. Buy on a pullback or a small position now.
Some high-end names like Louis Vuitton have not been doing well. But TPR has been performing decently. Above 200-day MA, which is moving higher. Mid-high luxury, and that part of the market is doing better. Could be that the ultra-rich are "downshifting" into names owned by this brand.
15.5x forward PE, slightly above 10-year historical norms for this name. 9-10% growth. So valuation is decent. Investors should be cautious about impact of a downturn in the economy on this type of name.
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Premium contentPremium contentStockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly TPR is an international manufacturer of luxury items that include the Coach and Kate Spade brands. They have built cash reserves back above $2 billion during the pandemic, while paying down debt. They trade at 16x earnings, compared to peers like RL at 49x. They have re-instated the dividend at a good yield, while keeping the payout ratio under 50% of cash flow. We would buy this with a stop loss at $30, looking to achieve $53.50 -- upside potential over 29%. Yield 2.45%. (Analysts’ price target is $53.13)
Got an analyst upgrade today and the stock surged and lifted the entire retail clothing sector. He prefers tried-and-true Lululemon though.
Bruce MurrayBruce MurrayBruce Murray
He would be reluctant to put it in his portfolio given the competition and the decline in foot traffic in the US. The valuation and long term growth potential keeps him out of it. Prefers TJX-N.