Opinions
Eric Nuttall
Source Energy Services Ltd
SHLE-T
COMMENT
Jul 19, 2017
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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Premium contentPremium contentWe reiterate SHLE, a frac sand distributor as a TOP PICK. The company recently announced a partnership with Trican Well Service to develop a world-class storage facility in NE BC, capable of receiving unit trains -- this should make it a key player in the development of this region. It trades at 4x earnings and under book value. We recommend trailing up the stop (from $9.50) to $10.50, looking to achieve $15.00 -- upside potential of 28%. Yield 0%
(Analysts’ price target is $18.50)Premium contentWe reiterate SHLE, provider of frac sands as a TOP PICK. Last reported earnings confirmed a 136% increase in free cash flow and 31% expansion in margins, which was allowing for continued retirement of debt. It trades at 4x earnings, under book value, and a robust ROE of 168%. We continue to recommend a stop at $10.50, looking to achieve $15.50 -- upside potential of 19%. Yield 0%
(Analysts’ price target is $15.50)Premium contentPremium contentCanada's largest provider of frac sand. Demand for frac sand is quite high, especially with LNG coming on. Executing very well. Refinanced debt at lower rate, pushing it out to 2029. Easily an $18-20 stock in the next year. US and potential Canadian governments are much more pro-energy. No dividend.
(Analysts’ price target is $18.00)
Premium contentOur PAST TOP PICK with SHLE has triggered its stop at $13. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. When combined with our previous guidance, this will result in a net investment gain of 14%.
EPS was $1.74 for the Q1 and it is buying back stock as well. The stock is exceptionally cheap but that has not prevented a 29% YTD decline. The balance sheet is a bit levered but nothing too concerning. Insiders own 14% and have been net buyers in 2025. It's interesting, but very small and cyclical. We would not add until there is some stabilization in share price.
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The primary long way to get exposure in the Canadian frac market of larger companies. He likes management. They are a transportation advantage within Canada, and are roughly 40% of the Canadian frac sand market. Some of the big, big wells going on in the Permian literally use 100-200 railcars for a single well. The only hindrance is that there is still a large private equity component to it, which will act as an overhang. Any time the stock rallies, there will always be a kind of concern that there will be a secondary coming into the market.