Stockchase Opinions

Jim Huang Macys Inc. (formerly Federated Department Stores) M-N DON'T BUY Jan 30, 2019

Traditional big box stores have been challenged, and Macys has been one of the better ones in cutting costs and doing online business. But they still face challenges. Monetizing real esteate is a good way to raise money and boost returns, but Hudson's Bay proves that if the underlying business isn't strong, then this strategy won't work. This remains challenging. Be cautious here.
$25.720

Stock price when the opinion was issued

department stores
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BUY
He liked it at $15 and $20, and he still likes it at $23. Good CEO and trades at 5x earnings.
BUY

The CEO announced he will step down next February. The CEO guided Macy's through Covid by sticking to his turnaround plan and emerged stronger. An incredible job. When the CEO took the job in 2018, Macy's was spiralling, crushed by debt and dominated by e-commerce.

DON'T BUY

It's cheap, but shares can keep falling. The market is bearish on retail now.

WATCH

They report Thursday. He wants to hear their holiday forecast and the state of the consumer.

BUY

Before their recent report, shares were down 47% for the year, but the beat their numbers across the board, including earnings, though those numbers were not great. They've discounted their inventory like crazy until it's now manageable. Are positioned well for holiday shopping. Also, he has faith in the new CEO.

DON'T BUY

It reports Tuesday. It has hiked its dividend by 5%, but it won't make much of a difference.

BUY

Last Tuesday, they reported a tremendous beat and raised their forecast. Shares popped 5% in a day. They told a great turnaround story. Total revenue beat, their Blue Mercury cosmetic business rose 4.3% in Q1 comp sales and adjusted earnings beat huge as they managed costs

BUY

The buyout won't happen. This trades at 6x earnings and run by a good CEO. Buy at $18.35.

COMMENT

They report Wednesday. He wants to hear why an employee apparently had millions in delivery expenses hidden. What really happened? We need answers.