Stockchase Opinions

David Driscoll Coca-Cola Femsa KOF-N HOLD May 14, 2025

Coca-Cola bottler in Mexico, largest in the world. Convenience stores, gas stations, and pharmacies in Mexico, Latin America, and South America.

$90.780

Stock price when the opinion was issued

food processing
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TOP PICK
Mexican bottling operation. About 65% of their revenues come from distributing Coca-Cola branded products in Latin America. Very strong growth rate of about 20%. Earnings next year will be up about 40%. Beat the most recent quarter by 38%. Costs are coming down because of cheap sugar prices. Sales came in at almost double what was expected. For a stoploss, he would not like to see this trade at less than $45.
TOP PICK
Coca-cola Femsa out of Mexico. Likes the stables in this type of market. Have very strong cash flows and strong revenue. Currency is a risk, (if US dollar goes up).
BUY ON WEAKNESS
He owns the parent. This bottling company is very good because half the population is under 30, prime beer, soft drinks and bottled water consumers. Price is getting interesting but would wait for it to come down another 5% or 10%.
WAIT
Latin and south American Coca-Cola. Price is a little excessive. Phase capital in over 9 months.
TOP PICK

Dominant in Latin America. Prefers the bottlers to Coke and Pepsi stocks. This is a really well managed company and well liked by Coke, who wanted them to take over the Philippines operation. This would give them a toehold in Asia. Risk is on execution. They have done a really good job when they take over different districts. Family sold a significant chunk of the stock so he could get at a reasonable price.

TOP PICK

(A Top Pick August 9/12. Up 26.8%.) Has come off quite a bit. There is a slowdown in Brazil that is affecting them. Diversifying their portfolio. Now have bottling operations in the Philippines, which is their entrée into Asia. Have a very good relationship with Coca-Cola (KO-N), which owns a significant portion of this company. With the selloff, he is looking at this as a good opportunity.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick June 7/13. Down 19.32%.) Since he selected this, he has switched into the parent Femsa. This company was facing some taxes because of the sugary drinks. Still likes the business and management. The parent company also has business in convenience stores, and now have expanded into pharmacies, as well as a stake in Heineken.