Stockchase Opinions

Brooke Thackray iShares Barclays 7-10 Year Trasry Bnd Fd IEF-Q PAST TOP PICK Mar 01, 2021

(A Top Pick Aug 05/20, Down 5%) Bonds typically do well from May into October. We are outside the bond seasonal period right now and they have been getting hammered. We may see some reversal at some point but he would wait until May to acquire this one.
$115.320

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PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick May 1/13. Down 6.22%.) Bonds tend to do well from May into October when the money comes out of the stock market and tends to go into the bond market. But this year was a little bit different. Bonds got hammered. Probably a bit oversold. Sold his holdings at about $105 in May which was its support point. He might go back into this in August and September, which is the sweet spot for fixed income.

TOP PICK

Government bonds work in US or Canada from May until beginning of October. Didn’t work last year because of Fed talking of tapering.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick May 14/14. Up 2.95%.) Bonds tend to do well from May into October. This is still in an uptrend and, from a seasonal basis, can perform well until the end of the year.

TOP PICK

Seven to 10-year government bonds do well this time of year. The past two summers, IEF had good runs, so sell them in late-September/early-October.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Jul. 23/18, Flat) He sold in mid-September. It is not in its seasonal period so he would not own it now.

COMMENT
7 to 10 year treasury bond divergence. We will likely see a little rotation into this ETF. There is a triangular pattern where you have to watch and see which way it is going to break out of it. Short term equities are a little over bought and he thinks we will chop around for a couple of weeks.
TOP PICK
A good hiding spot. Seasonally, this is where bonds do well until the beginning of October. Then, there will be better opportunities in the equities market. Bond investors are a lot more cautious than stock investors, so they're not buying into the market recovery. Bond yields may decrease even more. Yield is 1.42%.
TOP PICK
This is not a long-term call, but one for the next 4-5 months. Strong seasonality right now, and rates have pulled back a bit. Bond allocation in a portfolio still makes sense. Yield is 0.89%.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 05/21, Up 1%) This isn't the time for US government bonds. The better opportunity has been in the stock market. Take a look again in May to help build a more defensive portfolio to help protect against volatility in the summer.