Stockchase Opinions

Charles Dillingham Holloway Lodging HLC-T HOLD Jun 02, 2008

A group of 4 or 5 investors own over 50% so there is a chance it gets taken out.
$3.990

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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COMMENT
Limited service hotels in Western Canada. Huge exposure to Grand Prairie giving you a huge exposure to natural gas pricing. Average daily rate has gone up each quarter. If you are bullish on gas prices, this is a great entry point. Have a lot of cash on the balance sheet.
COMMENT
Limited service hotels primarily in Western Canada. Big exposure to natural gas areas so occupancy is down. Cut distributions and it is now at a level where they can pay distributions, pay the amortization on debt and fund their CapX internally. Sustainable at these levels. Lodging and seniors housing REITs will cease to be REITs by the end of 2010. The company should survive.
COMMENT
Limited service hotels, primarily Western Canada. Overpaid for a large portfolio of assets in Grand Prairie. Good management. Will not qualify as a REIT under government rules. However are only taxed on taxable income, which is nil and they won't be taxed under new legislation.
SELL
(Market Call Minute.) Hotels in the West where there are a lot of natural gas problems. Very hard for them to come back.
COMMENT
A bit sceptical about hospitality, tourism, etc. type of REITs. Focused in Western Canada. Occupancy has dropped and payout ratios are out of whack a little bit. One good way to play this is through the convertibles.
SELL
(Market Call Minute.) Tough times in the lodging space.
DON'T BUY
Outlook for lodging REITs and limited service hotels is very bleak for the next 3 to 4 years.
COMMENT
Limited service hotels. Huge exposure to Grand Prairie Alberta, a gas town. If you expect gas to recover, this is a name that will benefit. Need more drilling activity and drilling crews staying at their hotels. Quite a bit of debt outstanding that needs refinancing. If a long-term investor and comfortable owning small caps, you'll make some money going forward. Better names available.
COMMENT
This has been subject to an exclusive bid in early May. Results should be announced any day.
COMMENT

(Worst call ever made.) He was in on a private placement at $2. Adjusted cost base was as high as $3.60. The last time he sold it was at $0.28. This was followed by a 40 to 1 consolidation.