Opinions
Josef Schachter
Accrete Energy Inc.
GZ-T
PAST TOP PICK
Oct 22, 2007
(Down 18% since Jan 2007)It is natural gas and that is the problem. Recommends staying with it. Management has done a good job.Believes there is 50% upside.
$4.380
Stock price when the opinion was issued
oil
gas
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Past Top Pick Jan 23/07. Down 24%.) 71% natural gas. Doing about 3400 BOE’s a day and could go north of 4400. Thinks they will do over $2 in cash flow sold stock is trading at 2X cash flow. $56 million debt, about 2X cash flow, which is why it has not recovered as quickly as others. NAV in the 3rd quarter of 07 was over $8 a share. Hold.
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WEAK BUY
Gas weighted and debt level (2X debt to cash flow) is a little bit higher than average, so trades at a bit of a discount. Her comfort level is 2X or less debt to cash flow. Have a few thousand barrels a day so she is staying with it. Thinks the forecast for next year will be a higher stock price. You have to watch.
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HOLD
Just received an offer to be acquired by Pengrowth (PGF.UN-T). They get the Harmattan holdings and the remaining properties will be spun off into a new company, possibly called Argosy Resources. If you own, tender to the takeover. You should also take advantage of being able to buy the shares in the new company.
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