Don Vialoux 1stTr ISE Natural Gas E.T.F. FCG-N PAST TOP PICK Nov 17, 2015

The price of Nat Gas has been flat the last 8 weeks. A break above $4.02 would complete the pattern. Until the third week in December the price goes higher for Nat Gas stocks. This is an ETF of gassy stocks. We aren`t at the end of August yet, but we are awfully close.

(Top Pick Aug 22/14, Down 5.04%) Nat Gas is up 4-5% and yet gassy stocks are down 5%. Make sure when you make your calls that you go into the right products. We are still in a period of seasonal strength, but need at least two of the three technicals to be positive.

The most actively traded ETF in the gassy sector. On a technical basis, natural gas started to show early signs of outperformance relative to the market.

(Top Pick Sep 4/15, Down 10.79%) Seasonality does not work all of the time. You have to get out of bad seasonal trades when they aren’t working. When it looks shaky, just move on. The US dollar coming down will be good for Nat gas.

Recently, this has been forming a base pattern, which is typically of what would happen around the 3^rd week of September and moving higher until the middle of December. Natural gas has been forming a nice little base pattern, and a couple of days ago moved above that very briefly. Usually, the stocks themselves, don’t move that quickly. We are not quite at the 3^rd week in September, so currently the securities are forming a nice base pattern. Natural gas inventories in the US are right around where they should be on a 5-year basis, however, there are 2 hurricanes going into the Gulf, which is the largest natural gas producing area in the US. Because of this, in the next few weeks, natural gas inventories will not be building quite so much.

Natural Gas. FCG is a way to play the concentrated natural gas. Would stay away from playing the commodity futures part such as with UNG. This is in a challenging market. If you are bullish on the energy outlook, would play it with FCG.

Good way to get natural gas equities exposure. Better option for long term investors than leveraged ETFs. 

He likes this ETF to play the sector. Mostly American names that are gas-weighted. Most oil & gas plays are not gas only, though a few dominate on natural gas -- such as AR (which he owns) and OXY.

While the market's expensive, nat gas is not particularly so. He's been buying into weakness, riding to the top of the range. Likes the sector right now.

Oil and gas is a tough sector in which to be a long-term, buy-and-hold investor, unless you have conviction in the management of a company. He's more of a trader in that sense, not married to any particular management team. Long-term investing in the sector is an "Eric Nuttall question".