Stock price when the opinion was issued
Out of favour in 2023. Healthcare is one of the areas where he expects the rotation to go, big opportunity. Stock's flat for last 2 years, but EPS is up 27%. 15x PE this year, 13.5x next year. Estimates of double-digit revenue growth and 15% annual earnings growth. The insurers, in particular, are ripe for a rebound. Yield is 1%.
(Analysts’ price target is $558.02)Trades at 4-5 multiple points lower than UNH, fundamentals are equally good.
Whole group has stalled a bit over medical cost ratios and medical costs in general. Government is repricing programs, and it's affecting margins. Companies will fight through it, trading inexpensively, very solid growth metrics. Not afraid to buy any of them, and his choice is ELV.
Health insurance companies have done extremely well and will continue to do so. And this despite continued bombardment to try to tamp down profitability in the sector (its predecessor, Anthem, was trading around $7 a share in 1995). Company expects revenue to grow 10%+ and earnings in low teens. Trades 12-13x earnings. Great setup for long-term hold.
Don't get caught up in the news of the day, think about where it's likely to be in 5-10 years. Use these times of weakness to add to or start a position.
See UNH comments. The whole US health insurance industry is in turmoil. The industry itself admits there's a problem with how claims are processed and need to be fixed. These companies are necessary in the US health system, and they are for-profit. ELV hasn't traded at this low a valuation since 2013. Hold on.
Trades at a cheaper multiple than leader UNH. Likes it.