Stockchase Opinions

Eric Nuttall Cardinal Resources Limited CDV-T PAST TOP PICK Mar 04, 2022

(A Top Pick Mar 26/21, Up 180%) Second largest shareholder after Murray Edwards. Would buy again. Months away from starting a meaningful dividend. Expecting a 7-9% dividend yield. Expecting a double in share price.
$1.040

Stock price when the opinion was issued

Mining
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COMMENT

They were planning on divesting out of their ExactEarth ship service, but that got put on hold because of market conditions. Their core business is manufacturing satellite components, which is going to be a growing business over the next decade. In the short term it looks like there has been a slowdown in that business. Doesn’t see a lot in significant earnings growth right now. They are also under strategic review, so are trying to look at ways to enhance shareholder value. He is just happy to stand aside and watch.

COMMENT

Doesn’t formally cover this, but it is in his growth portfolio because he likes their prospects. Really likes its market niche. They put transponders up on satellites and have never had one fail. You can pretty much charge whatever you want if it is not going to fail. Margins in the good years are really, really high. Announced that they’ve been approached to do a strategic transaction. That could be almost anything. It makes sense for them to sell the company to a larger player, who can get access to bigger military contracts, bigger commercial contracts and you don’t have the Canadian issue.

COMMENT

This makes components for satellites. The real interesting part is that they make little mini satellites, which are used to keep track of ships. The overall background for the market is quite interesting because there are a lot of companies that are expected to release a ton of satellites in the next 5-10 years. This would be a good tuck-in for many large US companies. Currently trading at 19X forecasted earnings, which are expected to be $0.27. In the near term the latest earnings were a disappointment and were down 57% year-over-year. You are basically buying this for a possible acquisition. He thinks it should sell at about $6.

TOP PICK

A smaller cap business. He is always looking for businesses with a market cap of $400-$500 million, that could eventually get big enough to get on the TSX index. Their core business, satellites, is rock solid. They also have a business called Exactearth that is growing top line of about 50%-20% a year, which will drive EPS going forward. Dividend yield of 2.1%. Have been rumoured to be possibly strategically acquired.

SELL

Being acquired by Honeywell (HON-N). He doesn’t know that it is a slam-dunk that you get $6.55 that it was valued at. Anything over $6 could leave you a few percent on the table, but that could easily go away as well. If you own, he would be inclined to get out of the stock at these levels.

COMMENT

Has just had an offer to be acquired. He likes this and intends to participate in it. Not too long ago they were going to spin Exact Earth out.

HOLD

Received a nice bid to be acquired and are going to spin out ExactEarth. You are going to get a cash payment along with some shares in ExactEarth. Thinks ExactEarth has some good potential, but because of the time delay in terms of the takeover process and the spin out, ExactEarth will be fairly small and it might take time to get some investor attention.

COMMENT

A year ago or so, they were going to spin out Exact Earth, but pulled back from that. Now they are dividing the company up and selling off part of it. If you own, you are going to get a stub that is still going to be participating in the growth part. He thinks this company has a pretty good future here. If you own, he would recommend you vote for the change.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Oct 30/15. Up 8.7%.) Acquired by Honeywell.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick April 15/15. Up 22.27%.) This was acquired by Honeywell (HON-N).