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Caseys General StoreCASYHOLDJun 07, 2024Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 09, 2026. Market Open.
Not that well known north of the border. Comparable to ATD, though not as geographically diverse. Probably good pullback to buy. Exceptional food service offering, gaining lots of traction in this K-shaped economy. Ubiquitous in the Midwest, in lightly contested locales. Pullback probably due, in part, to high gas prices.
No problems buying, though he prefers ATD.
No quarrel with this business. Exemplary operator. Fairly niche geographic footprint, largely in US Midwest. Often the only convenience store in town, rather than competing in larger cities.
Instead, he owns ATD. Should ATD be successful in acquiring 7-Eleven, trade commission will likely require stores to be sold, and CASY would be the logical buyer.
CASY is $16B market cap, up 12% this year and up 32% over 52 weeks. P/E is 31X, dividend 0.45%. Debt is about 2.5X cash flow but cash flow is good, and growing. EPS has nearly tripled since 2019. It is a well-run business and the stock is up nearly 400% in the past decade. The last quarter was solid and ahead of estimates. Same store sales rose 3.7%, though gasoline sales declined, largely due to pricing. We would be quite comfortable owning this.
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They report Tuesday. Share have flown along with good operations, which he expects to continue. Given the current valuation, he doesn't expect much upside, but remains positive.