Stockchase Opinions

Kim BoltonAstera LabsALABPAST TOP PICKApr 23, 2025

(A Top Pick Apr 24/24, Down 12%)

Quite the ride. There were so many stock options to sell, that stock went below IPO price. Then stock rocketed up, but got caught up in tariffs. Hold on, but you have to respect the price target.

$60.35

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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BUY

Are centered on data centers and connectivity, unlike a chip company. That's why he bought this mid-cap.

DON'T BUY

Trades at 82x earnings, the highest in the entire stock market, though the company is very good.

BUY

Trades at a good PE compared to peers, offers strong growth and is well-managed. Shares have fallen to an attractive price.

PARTIAL SELL

People started paying attention to this, because of the hyperscalers use ALAB to make them more efficient in the cloud. He's sold two-thirds of his holding by now. He has a stop loss at $118-120. Don't buy here, but maybe at $100.

HOLD

It's actually snapped back. Got all the way to just below its IPO price, now around $51. The story is so solid because all the hyperscalers love it. Very smart and well managed. Not cheap. Still believes it can get back to the $80 level. A lot of the insider trades have already happened.

WEAK BUY

Still really likes it. Once it went through $38, its IPO level, he got out. Since then, convinced some investors to get back in. Employee options skewed supply/demand on the stock and, hence, its price. Fantastic company, enhances data movement and processing efficiency of hyperscalers.

BUY

Not very big at $8B market cap. Main product optimizes data transfer and processing within the cloud. Cornered the market. Hyper-scalers love it. Terrific place to buy. He added last Friday. 12-month price target is $90.

BUY

Hasn't moved, but he thinks it will. Makes hyperscalers run faster and more efficiently, and most of them own it. 

BUY ON WEAKNESS

There's a halo effect to all recent IPOs, and prices are too high. ALAB is up 91% in six months. Wait for this to come down.

BUY

In the semiconductor space, you could probably look a little further down the food chain. Loves this one. Small. Favourite for a lot of the giants. Works inside the cloud to make chips more efficient. Makes the data in data centres run faster on less energy.

IPO'd only 2 months ago at $38. Don't put a lot of money in, just a small position. Can buy here at $72-73, and in the low $60s. Doesn't think it will go much below that. Will be a star performer in the years ahead. In the AI trend on the infrastructure side.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Stock price is too high. Wait for it to fall before buying. 

TOP PICK

IPO at beginning of March. Priced at $32, opened at $58, shot up into the $80s, dropped into $60s with the general pullback. Still a bargain. Data-centric. Lets software companies connect quickly with the cloud, other software, and other networks. 12-month price target of $86, but can be sure that will be raised as it approaches. No dividend.

Put 3-5% of your portfolio in this, be well rewarded.

(Analysts’ price target is $86.09)
DON'T BUY

A coming wave of IPO will lead to investors selling this to buy those.

DON'T BUY

Is up 136% since IPO'ing on March 20, and it's probably overheated. ALAB is positioning itself as a new way to play the AI theme. The valuation was high right from the start Trye, sales growth was 45% last year, but they had negative earnings and negative operating cash flow last year. Operating income turned positive in Q3 and net income went positive in Q4; keep that eye and they will turn positive later this year. Also, another company could develop a better technology than theirs in a year.