It is benefiting from the short supply of Boeing and Airbus planes so lease rates are going up. Planes are flying almost at normal levels again and the airline industry is much better. However the airline stocks are almost at levels where they were in 2020. This is a buying opportunity for airline stocks.
Growing revenues and earnings nicely, multiple going down at same time. 7-8x PE. Largest leasing company of new aircraft in the world. Profitable during pandemic, raised dividend each year. Taking advantage of supply chain chaos, enjoying upward pressure on lease rates. Debt-ridden airlines that can't buy, lease instead. Escalators in leasing agreements. Yield is 2.14%. (Analysts’ price target is $54.83)
A leader in its industry. The stock has held up through the pandemic. It is losing its appeal because it continued to grow and the valuation multiple has shrunk. It under-performed his expectations and now he thinks the growth prospects are going to diminish. There will be a benefit however where airlines who took on debt may have to lease, rather than buy new aircraft.
(A Top Pick Nov 11/19, Down 17%) Their revenues and earnings will be up this year. Airlines are relying on government assistance to survive. They won't be able to get new planes after the pandemic and so AL-N will benefit as they will have to lease.
(A Top Pick Jun 24/19, Down 22%) Going forward they are in the enviable position amongst competitors. The average age of aircraft leased to airlines is 3.7 years. Older planes are retired first. So they will hang on to their AL-N aircrafts. Airlines will be in a weaker position to purchase aircraft so will be more likely to lease them.
It's been hit like all airline stocks during this lockdown, and has fallen the most in his portfolio. It's the blue-chip airplane leasing company in the world, which is a plus. They own planes in the first third of their shelf life, another positive. They have a strong balance sheet. Another plus is that Asia is their biggest customer as well as eastern Europe, but not America, which has been disproportionately hit by the virus. He still likes it.
They are expecting to grow revenues and earnings 25% next year and it is at 7 times earnings. This management team is building their second company of this sort. The 737max should resume service in January. They have 4-5% of their aircraft being the Maxes so their exposure is quite manageable. (Analysts’ price target is $55.20)
(A Top Pick Dec 10/18, Up 16%) He has owned it for 6 years. It was growing 20% and trading at 15 times. Since then it has gone up about 7% a year but the earnings per share have gone up 17% per year. It is still expected to grow at 20% this year and next even though trading at 7 times earnings.
He has owned it before. It has an excellent management team. But he thinks we have seen the peak of the aircraft cycle. He would keep it on the watch list.
They are a distributor for aircraft. They buy in bulk. It is cheaper to lease it than to buy it direct. It is growing 20% this year and next and trading at about 6 times earnings. With the aircraft crash over the weekend it is probably an even better buying opportunity. (Analysts’ price target is $51.30)
He has recommended it in the past. It is back to its bottom end of valuation. They have an influx of deliveries next year. They are a distributor for planes outside North America. (Analysts’ price target is $58.38)
It is benefiting from the short supply of Boeing and Airbus planes so lease rates are going up. Planes are flying almost at normal levels again and the airline industry is much better. However the airline stocks are almost at levels where they were in 2020. This is a buying opportunity for airline stocks.