Opinions
Jamie Murray 
Arthur J Gallagher & Co
AJG-N
BUY
May 16, 2024
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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AJG is an $81.5B insurance brokerage name that pays a yield of 0.8%, and it has grown its sales and earnings at a 10.5% and 18.0% five-year CAGR, respectively. Earnings are expected to grow nicely in the coming years, and analyst estimates are mostly rising. Margin expansion has been strong, with profit margins at 13.9%, and an EBITDA margin of 33.0%. Cash flow generation is good, and it has an acquisitive strategy. Debt levels are reasonable, and it trades at a fairly high valuation of 27X forward earnings, but this has been expanding over the years, and we feel it reflects the growing quality of the business. We like AJG for a high-quality insurance-related name over the long-term.
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US insurance broker. Grown by acquisition over last decade. Property and casualty. Really likes the broker business. Right now we're in a "hard" market, where pricing is accelerating. Doesn't have the risk of paying out claims, just collects the premium and takes its share. Trades at 22x. Outperformer.