SELL

Remember that some of the semis are very cyclical. Right now, there's an oversupply on the memory side, which you can see with the likes of ASML. And you can see this ETF rolling over. He stays away from ETFs because they're a mixed bag. The place you want to be in semis is in AI chips -- like NVDA, and AVGO (nipping at NVDA's heels).

WEAK BUY
ORCL vs. DELL

He owns both.

Took a bit of profit on DELL. Still holds about a 3-3.5% position in ORCL. If he had to choose, he'd say ORCL (at $189 now), for which his 12-month price target is $207.50.

PARTIAL SELL
DELL vs. ORCL

He owns both.

Took a bit of profit on DELL. Still holds about a 3-3.5% position in ORCL. If he had to choose, he'd say ORCL (at $189 now), for which his 12-month price target is $207.50.

TRADE
Doubling up on a particular stock that's already owned in a diversified fund/ETF.

His fund is an investment vehicle, but a lot of investors also own a stock from the fund in a trading account. In that case, they can sell calls against a position, or they sell some puts if they don't have a position. In other words, if you're going to own it outside a fund, treat it as a trade rather than an investment.

PARTIAL SELL

Melted up, forcing a lot of analysts to raise price targets. He's taken 2/3 of his profit; maintaining the final 1/3, and just moving the stops up underneath it. At last quarterly earnings, everything seemed to be firing on all cylinders. Doesn't look to be turning over; seems independent of hardware/software side. Really focused on data analytics.

(Analysts’ price target is $68.80)
HOLD

12-month price target of $233. He holds ~5.5-6% position in his fund. Performed extremely well coming out of earnings. Excels because it has so many horses in the race from AWS to Other Bets to the upcoming great season for fulfillments. Don't worry about Bezos selling shares, as he still has a lot left.

(Analysts’ price target is $222.00)
TRADE

Like a Mini-Me Coinbase. He's traded this, on relatively small positions in separately managed accounts. Not in his fund. Good way to ride the wave of blockchain and cryptocurrency.

TOP PICK

Cloud-networking solutions, particularly on switching and routers. Hardware that all the hyperscalers and data centres need. 12-month price target of $462. Buy in thirds here around $375, $355, and $335. No dividend.

(Analysts’ price target is $442.80)
TOP PICK

Cloud-based, data platform provider. Infrastructure and platform as a service. Also AI machine-learning integration. Chart shows how it's rolled over. Change in the CEO, and then the CRWD data breach. Very deep pockets, $3B in cash. Profitable, free cashflow. Never seems to lose customers. In acquisition mode. 41% haircut this year, great value. No dividend.

(Analysts’ price target is $172.36)
TOP PICK

Trims every once in a while. 12-month price target of $148. Like the lifeguard in the cloud pool, makes sure everyone plays well together. Hyperscalers love these guys, because the hyperscalers don't have to worry about the hardware and software not being compatible. No dividend.

(Analysts’ price target is $151.43)
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

CRUS is a fabless semiconductor company. The stock is up 20% this year; market cap is $5.3B, no dividend. It has $550M net cash and decent earnings growth. Free cash flow is high. The last quarter was good,  but estimates have been ticking downwards in the past month. There has been some recent insider buying. At 15X earnings it is priced well. We would consider it 'good' but not 'exciting'. Still, for the sector slow and steady can be attractive. 
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HOLD
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

Momentum has been improving recently and VMD is up 10% year-to-date. Recent earnings were positive with the stock beating EPS and revenue estimates and continuing to grow positively. The stock continues to look good fundamentally with positive, growing free cash flows and a net cah balance. Its valuation at 25x forward earnings is also not bad given the strong earnings and revenue growth expected over the next few years. We think it is be worth holding as it is a fundamentally sound business in our opinion. 
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BUY
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

BNS continues to pay a solid dividend yield of 5.4%, and it is up 22% on a year-to-date basis, and 29% on a one-year basis. Its earnings outlook is improving, and most analyst estimates are trending higher recently. Analysts have been upping their price targets mostly on improving fundamentals under the CEO, Scott Thomson, who has revamped leadership and focused on profitability. It may see some consolidation after its recent run up, but we continue to like the name and feel that it trades at a reasonable valuation of 11.4X forward earnings.
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COMMENT
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

Corners of the Market:

2024 has been a very solid year for the equity markets due to a favourable macro backdrop of declining interest rates, a slowdown in inflation, and especially after the election results, where the markets expect Trump’s policies of putting America first can help corporate earnings over the next few years. As a result, not only broad market indices but risky asset classes, such as small-cap, high-growth stocks, cryptocurrencies, etc., have performed strongly and hit new record highs.

That being said, despite a record year where both the S&P 500 and TSX achieved double-digit returns, not all sectors performed well, and there are some corners of the market that have been under pressure. These are where investors can take advantage of their temporary “losers” by claiming capital losses for tax-loss selling, which could offset capital gains.

This strategy can be accomplished by simply selling a temporary losing name in a non-registered account, which could then be used to offset the net capital gains tax investors have on their investments. The unused amount of capital losses can be used from up to three years in the past or carried forward indefinitely. After 30 days of the sale, these holdings can be bought back if investors believe in the long-term fundamentals of these companies.

Although writing off good companies based on one year of bad performance could become a regret for many investors, some of these names that have been under pressure may continue to see underperformance over the long-term. During a bull market cycle, we think investors should respect the wisdom of the crowd. Therefore, investors need to evaluate these names for future reinvestment on a case-by-case basis.
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