DON'T BUY
An expensive stock and he doesn't see a catalyst for these shares to rise.
DON'T BUY
It's still losing money. Nope.
BUY
It's handling itself very well with their private label and pays a good dividend.
COMMENT
There could be some respites in October, but the September nightmare could continue. Three events next week will tell us the direction. Non-farm payrolls, which he expects to show too much hiring; speaking engagements by the Cleveland fed chief, which is a hawk. Balance sheets are too strong for an apocalypse to happen. That said, we're paying the price for years of easy money, so it will be painful.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
It has rallied $14 from its low, defying the market sell-off. They just reported a strong quarter, a good fiscal 2022 full-year, and a very bullish forecast. He has liked Vail this even before Covid, and during Covid. They announced a stretegic shift in January 2022 by slashing passes by 20% to sell more season passes to customers who aren't rich. They also reported a beat in June, but the market didn't care. Pass sales are up 7% YOY as of September 2022. Trades at 24x earnings, about half of last November's level. He wouldn't be surprised if shares decline more with the market, but this is a buy during such weakness.
COMMENT
Based on volatility data by Mark Sebastian Normally, the VIX climbs as the S&P falls, but that didn't happen in September. Rather, the VIX has sedate, until the last few days this week. Why? The many VIX call options which act as a hedge and limits the volatility score. Add to that bond volatility. Sebastian's downside target is 3,386, when you should start buying. So, there's more downside.
DON'T BUY
They're involved in groundwater litigation and another lawsuit which isn't going well.
DON'T BUY
It reports Wednesday. It just hit a 52-week low. In this market, their downside will get accentuated.
COMMENT
It reports Wednesday. It has been flirting with 52-week highs lately. In this market, their upside will tread water or go marginally higher.
COMMENT
It reports Thursday. Normally, he likes this, but it's treacherous in this market. Their revenue numbers could be very good, but needs to see if water and glass shortages in Mexico will impact them.
DON'T BUY
It reports Thursday. The stock hasn't done anything in ages. The company needs to figure out how to grow its business.
COMMENT
It reports Thursday. They pre-announced a nasty set of numbers. The actual numbers may reinforce those numbers. He thinks it's a good company though.
COMMENT
It reports Thursday. Watch that, because rival Carnival reported brutal numbers today and crushed all the cruiseline stocks. He bets that Norwegian will have better things to say.
COMMENT
It reports Friday. He expects them to make a bold announcement about the U.S. legalization of cannabis. Shares are so low. For once, this could be a decent spec buy.
DON'T BUY
A good idea, but it's losing money.