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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly We reiterate our TOP PICK recommendation of LEN as the largest home builder in the US. Continued low interest rates has sparked demand growth in their prime markets of the Sun Belt, Florida and Texas, where housing inventory is already tight. JP Morgan recently put a $141 target price on the stock. It trades at only 10x earnings, compared to peers at over 20x and is valued currently at less than 2x book. It pays a dividend backed by a payout ratio under 10% of cash flow, while paying down debt and building cash reserves. We would buy this with stop at $96 -- looking to achieve $140 -- upside potential over 32%. Yield 0.95% (Analysts’ price target is $117.25)
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly We reiterate our TOP PICK recommendation of TOL as a luxury home builder. Continued low interest rates continues to spark new construction allowing the company to pay down debt, buy back stock, while growing cash reserves. It pays a small dividend, backed by a payout ratio under 15% of cash flow. It trades at 12x earnings and less than 2x book value. We would buy this with a stop loss at $54.00, looking to achieve $75.00 -- upside potential over 16%. Yield 1.07% (Analysts’ price target is $74.10)
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly We reiterate our TOP PICK recommendation of DIR.UN. As an industrial REIT it has benefitted from the supply chain needs created by the pandemic. It trades at 9x earnings compared to peers at 38x and is valued at under 1.5x book. It pays a great dividend backed by a payout ratio under 50% of cash flow. We would buy this with a stop loss at $16. As we continue to view this as a defensive stock, we will hold this under our stop is triggered. (Analysts’ price target is $17.03)
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 08/20, Up 17%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with SR has triggered its stop at $65. We recommend covering the position at this time. Combined with the previous recommendation to cover half the position upon reaching our initial objective, this results in a net investment return of 24%.
COMMENT
The past year we've seen a shift from growth to value stocks, triggered by the first vaccine news last fall through March/April 2021. Since the spring, we've seen a rise in Delta which could delay the recover. The value rally is on pause. He'd buy cyclical stocks that will do well in an inflationary environment. He adopts a barbell strategy in case inflation (wage increases) last a little longer than expected, but remain temporary. Iron ore and potash are commodities worth buying. He's also looking for discretionary and tech growth stocks, but not the megacap techs in case we run into stagflation.
WAIT
If they go private There is a bid to go private, but it's been dragging on for a while. DND stumbled with their recent UK acquisition, which may be a factor. The price will likely be above $50/share. DND has lagged its peers. He expects the deal to close, but wait for the big before deciding what to do with your shares.
BUY
It's not overvalued and he likes it here. ATD boasts valuation (cash flow, 17x PE, great balance sheet, fine ROE), price momentum with low volatility. However, they are running out of targets to sustain their growth. Overall, likes it.
BUY
A cyclical that'll benefit from an inflationary economy that'll extend longer. Good balance sheet. Had a recent pullback with all the cyclical stocks, but these stocks will do well. Good metrics: 27x ROI and 8x EBITDA. A solid balance sheet. A safe dividend at a low payout ratio.
COMMENT
They grow by acquisition, but haven't done one since 2020. Boyd is neither here nor there. It is not volatile, though. PE and EBITDA are pricey. Good balance sheet, though. He's neutral about this.
BUY
Dollar Tree and DOL outlooks These stores did well during the lockdown. Soft share prices lately are due to return-to-work. DT is a little cheaper at 14x PE with a recent earnings beat and recently had an earnings beat. But DT has weak price momentum. DOL has outperformed, offers a good PE and had a good earnings beat. DOL has better price momentum. DOL isn't cheap at 30x PE, but it's okay; low volatility. Both stocks are similar overall.
BUY
It's a volatile name, so don't be expected by recent volatility. Supplying dealerships is a problem in the near future, given the global--but temporary--chip shortage. ACQ has good price momentum and a high ROI. PE is 11x. They had a strong recent beat. However, their balance sheet is a little stretched.
DON'T BUY
It's had a spectacular run and boasts super price momentum, but its valuation and volatility score near the bottom. They have no earnings and no PE.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 12/20, Up 78%) They pay in divvies all their excess returns. Commodity prices like iron ore have gone through the roof since he bought LIF. Valuation and ROE remain strong. If iron ore prices hold, LIF will continue to do well. There's still upside here.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 12/20, Up 79%) Pattison tried to buy them last year. He bought this as shares went well, and has since rallied strongly. He bought this for the housing boom, but the lumber price surge surprised him. Recently, lumber prices have weakened, but lumber is still at near-historic highs. He expects lumber to rise again.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 12/20, Up 79%) It benefits from the Oil Sands activity. The balance sheet is stressed. This works well in a deep-value recovery, but not so well in a tougher environment. He wouldn't buy it now.