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27 Best and Worst Fashion Stocks of 2019

Melisa R. H. Posted On May 16, 2019
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Fashion apparel and accessories can be a lucrative investment sector if you research well before and pick the right companies. This sector can be fickle due to not only being affected by traditional underlying forces but also due to consumer taste and trends. A brand that is very popular one year can very well be put aside for another, very quickly, according to what is considered “in”.

Reputation and image is very important for the performance of retail stocks. There are a few metrics that you can use to gauge a brand including same store sales growth and gross margins.

Other risks to consider include the on-going trade war between the US and China that will include a further tariff on $60 billion of goods including categories that will affect Fashion stocks. The new tariffs will come into effect in June.

🛍 Consumer
Canada
RYU Apparel Inc. (RYU-X)
A largely Canadian fitness apparel company that also has a presence in the US. They are strengthening their ecommerce and online presence. They are a fairly new company, trading for under 5 years. Currently, they are in their growth stage.

RYU Apparel Inc. (RYU-X) — Stockchase
RYU Apparel Inc. (RYU-X) — Stockchase

Opinion about RYU-X: He would like to see a couple of good quarters out from them. It is thinly traded. You have to be prepared to watch it quarter by quarter.

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Gildan Activewear Inc. (GIL-T)
A part Canadian and American manufacturer of unbranded clothing. They manufacture branded apparel on behalf of clients and businesses. The latest report has shown that they have great cash flow and are buying back stocks. A dividend increase has also been announced.

Gildan Activewear Inc. (GIL-T) — Stockchase
Gildan Activewear Inc. (GIL-T) — Stockchase

Opinion about GIL-T: With tariffs, could see the price of clothing go up. As Springsteen sang, textile jobs are not coming back to NA; clothes will still be imported. Impact on the clothing industry remains to be seen. Thinks prices will go higher, but people still need to get dressed. Onshoring will be a multi-year…

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Le Chateau Inc. (A) (CTU-X)
A Montreal based specialty retailer. They are known for their contemporary designed clothing. A financing agreement of $1M was announced in February for working capital purposes.

Le Chateau Inc. (A) (CTU-X) — Stockchase
Le Chateau Inc. (A) (CTU-X) — Stockchase

Opinion about CTU-X: This has been a very difficult stock. Recently reported a very bad quarter. He would stay away from this one. Inventory has gone up a lot and their margins have fallen. Cut the dividend totally. Thinks they are in a bit of trouble.

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Canada Goose Holdings (GOOS-T)
A Canadian luxury winter apparel maker. Their coats are priced in the thousands. It’s a little expensive now with 40x valuation but they have a history of breaking earnings forecasts. They are expanding globally and are enjoying growing sales.

Canada Goose Holdings (GOOS-T) — Stockchase
Canada Goose Holdings (GOOS-T) — Stockchase

Opinion about GOOS-T: Good proxy for health of consumers in Canada. Luxury item that is discretionary. Hard to excited about this style of business. Not seeing major spending from average population. Better options for investors out there. 

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Reitmans (Canada) Ltd. (A) (RET.A-T)
Brands under them include Reitmans, RW & CO and Penningtons. Tax loss selling affected them but they have been a steady name. They have been closing their worst stores. Some buy this just for the dividend, which is at 5.99%.

Reitmans (Canada) Ltd. (A) (RET.A-T) — Stockchase
Reitmans (Canada) Ltd. (A) (RET.A-T) — Stockchase

Opinion about RET.A-T: Owned it a few years. He sees big upside. They have $120 million in cash and zero debt, trading at negative enterprise value. They already own their own warehouse and office building. It's a profitable business based on a value brand. They are doing well, selling quality clothes. The issue is how…

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Aritzia Inc. (ATZ-T)
A Canadian women’s fashion brand out of Vancouver. They have been experiencing good growth and are expanding in the US where brand recognition is high too. Their online presence is strong and investors are keeping a close eye for its potential.

Aritzia Inc. (ATZ-T) — Stockchase
Aritzia Inc. (ATZ-T) — Stockchase

Opinion about ATZ-T: So early in its growth phase. Square footage growth about 10-15% for next 5 years, and add that to same-store sales growth of ~5-6%. Under-penetrated in US.

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United States
Macys Inc. (formerly Federated Department Stores) (M-N)
Big box stores have been facing increased headwinds from ecommerce and changing consumer patterns. Macys has been the better of the bunch in cost reduction and doing online business but there is vulnerability to Amazon and other online competitors.

Macys Inc. (formerly Federated Department Stores) (M-N) — Stockchase
Macys Inc. (formerly Federated Department Stores) (M-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about M-N: They report Wednesday. He wants to hear why an employee apparently had millions in delivery expenses hidden. What really happened? We need answers.

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Ross Stores Inc. (ROST-Q)
The second largest off-price retailer after TJX. They buy excess inventories from more recognized brands and acts as an outlet. When traditional retail companies aren’t doing well, these companies will do better. It was one of the only stocks to have a positive rate of return in 2008.

Ross Stores Inc. (ROST-Q) — Stockchase
Ross Stores Inc. (ROST-Q) — Stockchase

Opinion about ROST-Q: They do a good job with the balance sheet. They rallied in the summer when we felt the economy cooling, but now these names are struggling with a stronger economy. He prefers TJX. Ross' momentum is broken.

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Nordstrom Inc (JWN-N)
A chain of luxury department stores. They have a good presence in online retail and their ecommerce store is one of the best in the luxury space. Investors are expecting another strong earnings report since they have a history of beating expectations.

Nordstrom Inc (JWN-N) — Stockchase
Nordstrom Inc (JWN-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about JWN-N: Last August they reported a huge bottom line beat, but management reiterated guidance. 

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Chico’s FAS (CHS-N)
A women’s fashion retailer. Sycamore Partners has submitted an offer to purchase the entirety of the business for $3.50 per share. A previous offer for purchase at $4.30 was offered but rejected by the board since they saw the offer undervaluing the company.

Chico's FAS (CHS-N) — Stockchase
Chico's FAS (CHS-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about CHS-N: Women's fashion retailer. Had been very successful through the 90s. High-end fashions in the US. Sold his holdings about a year ago when management stubbed its toe by moving into accessories for the younger crowd.

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Gap (GPS-N)
A major player in retail with brands such as Old Navy, Gap, Banana Republic under them. They are reporting first quarter earnings on May 30, 2019. They are suffering from the general trend away from brick and mortar stores. A longer-term survivor.

Gap (GPS-N) — Stockchase
Gap (GPS-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about GPS-N: Likes CEO. It's been gaining market share for 7 straight quarters as inventory declines the past 8. 

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Tapestry Inc. (TPR-N)
Coach, Kate Spade and Stuart Weitzman are key labels under Tapestry Inc. They renovated much of their physical stores are starting to see a revival in the Coach brand. The share buyback program is going well as planned.

Tapestry Inc. (TPR-N) — Stockchase
Tapestry Inc. (TPR-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about TPR-N: His favourite in this space is Ralph Lauren which collapsed today, and TPR is not better than RL. TPR will go lower in this market.

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DSW Inc (DSW-N)
A footwear retailer. They performed some acquisitions and are opening stores globally. Same-store sales rose more than 5% in the latest report. They have a good history of raising dividends and it currently sits at 4.5%.

DSW Inc (DSW-N) — Stockchase
DSW Inc (DSW-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about DSW-N: (A Top Pick March 14/17 Up 40%) He liked this based on the overall valuation metrics. This shoe retailer has done well in a sector with stiff competition. They are expanding internationally, including Dubai. He does not expect a similar 40% bump, but still likes holding it.

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Michael Kors Holdings (KORS-N)
They changed their name to Capri Holdings Limited (CPRI-N) in January of this year. They have Versace and Jimmy Choo under them and are looking to bolster their operations through the various brands. Their original brand, Michael Kors, has had trouble growing sales and maintaining status and image.

Michael Kors Holdings (KORS-N) — Stockchase
Michael Kors Holdings (KORS-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about KORS-N: *Short* Bricks and mortar is getting killed. There are way more losers in bricks and mortar then winners. This one is a loser. Management is essentially guiding to lower margins, lower EPS, lower revenue and more store closings. (Analysts’ price target is $36.)

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American Eagle Outfitters (AEO-N)
An American clothing and accessories retailer that focuses on the teen to young adult segment. They are focusing on expanding online retail and investors are beginning to put more confidence behind this company. They have grown 6.2% year-to-date compared to the industry’s 4.3% decline.

American Eagle Outfitters (AEO-N) — Stockchase
American Eagle Outfitters (AEO-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about AEO-N: Hard to predict outcome of business. Too trendy. Don't buy. Prefers traditional business' like Costco. 

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Guess Inc (GES-N)
An apparel and accessories company that has been gaining interest from hedge funds and other investors. They are starting to repurchase their common stock and are redistributing capital. They recently cut their dividends in favour of the buyback plan.

Guess Inc (GES-N) — Stockchase
Guess Inc (GES-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about GES-N: They're accelerating their stock buyback. Loves it.

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Nike Inc (NKE-N)
A spectacular growth story with global presence. Revenues from China grew well and have not been affected as much by the US-China dispute. Consumer confidence must be closely monitored since this company is particularly vulnerable to be hit if it falls.

Nike Inc (NKE-N) — Stockchase
Nike Inc (NKE-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about NKE-N: (A Top Pick Feb 01/24, Down 44%) Good news is it's the largest in athletic wear and shoes. No debt, tons of firepower. Industry leader. Slow fixes from horrendous mistakes. Looking for earnings improvement in 2026. Worst is over. To bring manufacturing back to the US would be way too expensive for…

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L Brands Inc. (LB-N)
Flagship brands under them include Victoria’s Secret and Bath & Body Work. The tariff war has hit these brands particularly hard. It is a high quality brand but is facing increasing pressure from other online retailers.

L Brands Inc. (LB-N) — Stockchase
L Brands Inc. (LB-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about LB-N: He's not recommending this because of the ailing Victoria's Secret. Rather, the red-hot soap chain, Bath and Bodyworks, accounts for half the company's revenues. A huge driver will be the hygiene bull market that will endure after Covid, as consumers have improved their hygiene habits for good.

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Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF-N)
A wildly volatile stock. They recently cut their COO position and some have questioned their accounting practices. A stock to watch but beware and do your due diligence.

Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF-N) — Stockchase
Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about ANF-N: Down over 40%. Very mature company. Probably very little square footage growth, so it's driven by same-store sales. Tariffs may also be an overhang. If no recession, could be a good time to buy.

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Tiffany & Co. New (TIF-N)
A luxury jewelry and specialty retailer famous for their diamonds and sterling silver. They were also affected negatively due to the US-China trade war since investors worry that diamonds and jewelry will be included in tariffed goods.

Tiffany & Co. New (TIF-N) — Stockchase
Tiffany & Co. New (TIF-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about TIF-N: Investors buy luxury stocks at the bottom of a recession, because the rich part of a population hold up much better in a recession. Now is not a good time to enter luxury stocks. There's nothing wrong with Tiffany per se, but now is not the time and TIF is slightly exposed…

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Under Armour (UA-N)
A sports and casual wear manufacturer. They are nearing the end of a three year transformation. They are particularly popular due to the athleisure movement and demand for smart looking workout clothing.

Under Armour (UA-N) — Stockchase
Under Armour (UA-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about UA-N: A great spec. They need a couple of good quarters. Nike is coming back with a vengeance.

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LuLulemon Athletica (US) (LULU-Q)
A Canadian company trading on the NASDAQ. They have gotten support for their athleisure and fashion forward apparel. The major bulk of their clientele are discerning millennial shoppers looking for good quality apparel.

LuLulemon Athletica (US) (LULU-Q) — Stockchase
LuLulemon Athletica (US) (LULU-Q) — Stockchase

Opinion about LULU-Q: At 17x PE, this is frantically trying to bottom. You can put a small position on this now.

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Urban Outfitters (URBN-Q)
An American multinational consumer goods and apparel company. They announced strong results in the holiday quarter and are expected to announce their Q1 earnings on May 21.

Urban Outfitters (URBN-Q) — Stockchase
Urban Outfitters (URBN-Q) — Stockchase

Opinion about URBN-Q: Actually, their main brand, Urban Outfitters, is no longer their top seller (and is losing sales), but Anthopologie is, 43% of 2023's sales, and boasts 12% same-store sales growth. Nuuly, their new subscription sales business, accounts for 5%, but he doesn't mind it isn't making money yet because it's growing fast. Overall…

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TJX Companies (TJX-N)
The largest international apparel and home fashion off-price retailer. They change inventory quickly and are good at keeping up with consumer taste. In a recession environment, these types of companies thrive. Their brands include Marshalls, Winners and Home Senses.

TJX Companies (TJX-N) — Stockchase
TJX Companies (TJX-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about TJX-N: Loves it. Will do well in a recession. Consumers are loyal.

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Hanesbrands (HBI-N)
A leading undergarments and athletic apparel manufacturer. They posted the highest quarterly sales growth in eight years for the fiscal year 2018. Champion, one of their brands, has been growing internationally and is expected to continue its expansion.

Hanesbrands (HBI-N) — Stockchase
Hanesbrands (HBI-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about HBI-N: They have way too much debt. pass.

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Carter’s Inc (CRI-N)
A children’s apparel company that supplies a lot of discount retailers under different names. Earnings were impacted by unfavourable currency rates and soft sales. However, a large majority of mothers shop at their stores and they are opening more stores than they are closing.

Carter's Inc (CRI-N) — Stockchase
Carter's Inc (CRI-N) — Stockchase

Opinion about CRI-N: (Top Pick Mar 18/15, Up 6.73%) Every household with kids shop for this brand of clothing. They supply a lot of discount retailers under different names. The expansion into Canada is hampered by the currency. They are expanding into China who now has a two child per family allowance.

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LVMH (Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton) (LVMUY-OTC)
The biggest luxury-goods company in the world. It’s a good name to be defensive during the US-China tariff war as this is not expected to affect LVMH. High-end retail continues to do well and they are doing a great job with online commerce. A good stock to hold long term.

LVMH (Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton) (LVMUY-OTC) — Stockchase
LVMH (Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton) (LVMUY-OTC) — Stockchase

Opinion about LVMUY-OTC: Behemoth and benchmark in luxury goods. Stock's been weak as consumers have pulled back globally, especially in China and US. Historically over all these cycles, their brands have performed very well. ROIC is very high, and can be sustained even through weak times. Very cheap at 17x PE. Growth is probably 0%…

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