Stockchase Opinions

Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA BMO Long-Term US Treasury Bond ZTL-NLB BUY Apr 01, 2019

Buy the Canadian or US dollar version? If you have US dollars in a US dollar account you would buy in US dollars. If you hold it in Canadian dollars the holdings are in US dollars so you get the currency exposure and that is what you want. You want this until stocks start selling off.
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TOP PICK

A contrarian pick, because if the markets are going to sell off, there is often a flight to safety, and bonds can be okay. He doesn’t expect huge upside on this, but some neutral to positive upside. The contrarian side is that this is not hedged. In the near term, the loonie is a little overbought, so we may get a little pop on the exchange settling down a little. He is probably going to hold this for 1 to 2 months.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Believes inflation will be sticky the next few years.
Duration (interest rate risk) is a big concern.
If can lock in above 4% yield - is a good time to buy.


BUY ON WEAKNESS

Good option for US bond investors. Would be a great buy if economy tanks.