Stockchase Opinions

The Panic-Proof Portfolio (Stockchase Research)MGIC InvestmentMTGTOP PICKMar 02, 2023

Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly

MTG provides private mortgage services in the US.  It trades under 10x earnings and under book value.  We like that it is building cash reserves, paying down debt and buying back shares. Recently reported earnings showed net income growth of 36% over the year.  We recommend placing a stop-loss at $11.50, looking to achieve $16.50 — upside potential over 16%.  Yield 2.6%

(Analysts’ price target is $16.19)
N/A

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$25.56

As of Jun 11, 2026. Market Open.

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TOP PICK

We are the parent company of Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation (MGIC). MGIC provides products and services that protect mortgage investors from credit losses. This critical component of the nation's residential mortgage finance system helps families achieve homeownership sooner by making affordable low-down-payment mortgages a reality. Social media mentions are up 400% in the past 24h.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 02/23, Up 20%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with MTG has triggered its stop at $16.50. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time.  This will result in a net investment gain of 20%, when combined with previous recommendations. 

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 02/23, Up 26.4%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with MTG is progressing well.  To be disciplined, we recommend trailing up the stop (from $15.00) to $16.50 at this time.  

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 02/23, Up 20%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with MTG has achieved its objective at $16.50.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering half the position at this time and maintaining the stop at $15.00 

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 02/23, Up 16.2%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with MTG is progressing well.  We recommend trailing up the stop (from $11.50) to $15.00 at this time.  

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 10/20, Up 62.2%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with MGIC has triggered its stop at $14.75. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in a net investment gain of 49% when combined with the previous recommendation to cover half the position.
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 10/20, Up 75.7%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with MTG continue to progress well. We recommend trailing up the stop (from $13.00) to $14.75. If triggered, this would result in a net combined investment return of 49%, when taking into account the previous recommendation to cover half the position.
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 10/20, Up 56.4%)Stochchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with MTG continues to do well. We are now recommending to trail up the stop (from $9.25) to $13.00. If triggered, this would all but guarantee an investment return of 40% when considering the recommendation to cover 50% previously.
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 10/20, Up 37.5%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK has exceeded analyst expectations, trading to $12.50. We are being disciplined and are recommending to cover 50% of the position. We are also recommending trailing the stop to $9.25 -- just above the original recommended buy price.
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly MTG provides mortgage insurance in the US, Puerto Rico and Guam. The company released an operational update to end-August indicating the inventory of delinquent loans continues to decrease, with the % of new delinquency notices dropping by over 25% since June. It trades at 69% of book value and EPS is expected to grow to $1.50 per share from $1.44 this year. While still levered to an economic recovery, we make this a Top Pick. The yield is supported by a payout ratio of less than 10% of cash flow. We would trade buy this with a $7.00 stop-loss. Yield 2.69% (Analysts’ price target is $12.43)
COMMENT
Big selloff 2007-2008. Stock has now completed 4 years of base building. On a short-term basis, the stock is having a bit of a pullback and may even come lower but for a long-term investor there is some potential of this stock reversing. Have a stop loss at around $3.
PAST TOP PICK

(Top Short May 11/10. Up 8.43%.) Covered this Short.

TOP PICK
Top Short Short it. They aren’t insuring any new mortgages. They have escalating costs on legal costs. 11 straight quarters of losses and negative retained earnings. They don’t look to be profitable this year.