Opinions
The Panic-Proof Portfolio (Stockchase Research)
Lumentum Holdings
LITE-Q
TOP PICK
Sep 21, 2021
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly We reiterate our recommendation of LITE (maker of fiber optic network products essential in the 5G rollout) as a TOP PICK. It trades at 17x earnings compared to peers at 38x. It continues to grow its cash reserves and buying back shares. We would buy this with a stop loss at $70, looking to achieve $100 -- upside potential over 17%. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $96.76)
$84.230
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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BUY
The caller asked for an evaluation of Lumentum in the context of its acquisition of Oclaro (OCLR-O). He says that this stock’s chart looks terrific. It shows a lot of momentum, good earnings growth momentum, the stock shows a lot of volume on its upside breakout. He can see this going to $80 quickly and expects it to do well over a 3-to-6-month time frame. However, you should set an exit point for every trade. For this stock, he recommends that you start reducing if it drops to $65 and get completely out if it reaches $60. He would also reduce if it pulls back below its 20-day moving average.
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TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly LITE is a maker of fiber optic network products, which are essential in the 5G rollout. The stock was recently negatively impacted when it announced it was deferring almost $15 million in quarterly revenue due to delays in 5G deployment in China due to the pandemic. It trades at 16x earnings and earnings growth is projected at 15% for the next five years, as it has averaged the past five. We would buy this with a stop loss at $60, looking to achieve $115 - upside potential over 46%. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $115.14)
TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly We again reiterate our recommendation of LITE (maker of fiber optic network products essential in the 5G rollout) as a TOP PICK. It trades at 19x earnings compared to peers at 65x. Recently reported earnings matched expectations and the company is managing a ROE of 18%. It continues to grow its cash reserves while buying back shares. We continue to recommend a stop loss at $85, looking to achieve $113 -- upside potential over 18%. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $113.00)
TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly As the company continues to develop 3D sensing products essential to the automotive and industrial sectors, we again reiterate LITE as a TOP PICK. It trades at 18x earnings compared to peers at 31x. Recently reported earnings matched expectations and the company is managing a ROE of 17%. It continues to grow its cash reserves while buying back shares and retiring debt. We continue to recommend a tight stop loss at $85, looking to achieve $116 -- upside potential over 32%. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $115.92)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 12/22, Down 2%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with LITE has triggered its stop at $85. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in a net investment gain of 2%, when combined with our previous buy recommendation.
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